Who will win Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, NFO goals across
| LIV ↓ | NFO 0 | NFO 1 | NFO 2 | NFO 3 | NFO 4 | NFO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 1 | 8.2% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| LIV 2 | 10.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| LIV 3 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 4 | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 5 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.2%.
Liverpool v Nottingham Forest
Onside's model gives Liverpool a 56% chance of beating Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 2, with 24% on the draw and 20% on an away win. The score prediction is Liverpool 2–0 Nottingham Forest, from expected goals of 2.34 to 0.90. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).