Who will win Newcastle United vs Coventry City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
NEW goals down, COV goals across
| NEW ↓ | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW 0 | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| NEW 1 | 7.5% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| NEW 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| NEW 3 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| NEW 4 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| NEW 5 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.7%.
Newcastle United v Coventry City
Onside's model gives Newcastle United a 59% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 35, with 23% on the draw and 18% on an away win. The score prediction is Newcastle United 2–1 Coventry City, from expected goals of 2.24 to 1.03. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).