Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Everton?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
NFO goals down, EVE goals across
| NFO ↓ | EVE 0 | EVE 1 | EVE 2 | EVE 3 | EVE 4 | EVE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFO 0 | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| NFO 1 | 8.8% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| NFO 2 | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| NFO 3 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| NFO 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NFO 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Nottingham Forest v Everton
Onside's model gives Nottingham Forest a 36% chance of beating Everton in Gameweek 16, with 31% on the draw and 33% on an away win. The score prediction is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Everton, from expected goals of 1.18 to 1.25. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).