QUICK ANSWER

Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives Norway at 50% to win the Round of 32 clash between Ivory Coast and Norway. Ivory Coast 26% · draw 24% · Norway 50%. Match # 78 at AT&T Stadium, Arlington.

ROUND OF 32 · MATCH 78

MODEL · NOR 50%ARLINGTON30 Jun UTC

Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

IVORY COAST

26%

DRAW

24%

(then ET / pens)

NORWAY

50%

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

1.93 — 1.45

★ MODE

1–1

10.7%

2–1

9.2%

1–2

6.9%

2–2

6.7%

2–0

6.4%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

66%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

IVORY COAST · PL STARS

1.Ibrahim SangaréNott'm Forest
2.Simon AdingraSunderland
3.Amad DialloMan Utd

NORWAY · PL STARS

1.David Møller WolfeWolves
2.Kristoffer AjerBrentford
3.Martin ØdegaardArsenal

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Ivory Coast vs Norway World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Ivory Coast 26%, draw 24%, and Norway 50% in the Round of 32 — Norway favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Ivory Coast vs Norway score prediction

The model leans Norway by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 59%.

Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 fixture at Arlington, kickoff Tue 30 Jun, 17:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (CIV #34 vs NOR #31), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

Ivory Coast vs Norway line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · Ivory Coast vs Norway

Who is the favourite to win Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32?

Norway is the model's favourite at 50%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Ivory Coast face Norway at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, kickoff Tuesday 30 June at 17:00 UTC.

What's the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

The model's predicted scoreline is Ivory Coast 2-1 Norway (expected goals 1.9 v 1.4). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 59%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

Ivory Coast →Norway →Pick the score →Full bracket →