World Cup 2026 Knockout Bracket
Five rounds of win-or-go-home football to the Final at MetLife on 19 July. Tap any tie for the full model prediction — switch rounds below, or build your own bracket.
The Final
Spain and Argentina. One match, one trophy, and a model that has to put a number on it before a ball is kicked — then live it or die by the result, in public.
The model favours Spain at 63% to reach the final.
WHO LIFTS IT · 10,000-RUN SIMULATION
FULL BOARD →Final
The model’s projected final.
Who plays who in the World Cup 2026 Round of 32?
Every knockout match
All 32 knockout fixtures with kickoff time and stadium. Team names fill in as each round resolves above.
Dates and venues from FIFA's announced schedule. Team identities fill in as the group stage decides — top 2 from each group plus the 8 best third-place finishers advance.32 knockout matches total.
Knockout-stage common questions
How does the 48-team World Cup 2026 knockout work?›
The 48-team format adds a Round of 32 above the traditional Round of 16. Top two from each of the 12 groups (24 teams) plus the 8 best third-placed finishers across groups (8 teams) advance to the R32. Then R32 → R16 → QF → SF → Final, five rounds over 22 days from 28 June to the 19 July final at MetLife Stadium.
When does the World Cup 2026 knockout stage start?›
The Round of 32 begins on 28 June 2026 and runs through 3 July. Round of 16 from 4–7 July, quarter-finals 9–12 July, semi-finals 14–15 July, third-place playoff 18 July, and the final on Sunday 19 July at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Who does the model favour to win the World Cup 2026 final?›
The final is set: Spain v Argentina at MetLife Stadium on Sunday 19 July 2026. Spain beat France 2-0 and Argentina beat England 2-1 in the semi-finals. The model makes Spain a narrow favourite — 57% to lift the trophy to Argentina's 43%. See the winner page for the full breakdown.
Which teams are favourites to win each knockout round?›
For the R16, eight teams have above 65% probability of advancing: France, Spain, England, Argentina, Portugal, Netherlands, Brazil, Belgium. For the QF, the top eight by probability are the same set in roughly the same order. The simulator page shows live numbers.
Where is the World Cup 2026 final being played?›
The final is at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 19:00 UTC (15:00 ET). The third-place playoff is at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, on 18 July.
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