Who will win Liverpool vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, FUL goals across
| LIV ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 1 | 6.5% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| LIV 2 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LIV 3 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| LIV 4 | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 5 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.7%.
Liverpool v Fulham
Onside's model gives Liverpool a 57% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 4, with 23% on the draw and 20% on an away win. The score prediction is Liverpool 2–1 Fulham, from expected goals of 2.42 to 1.06. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 10 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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