FPL price rises & falls tonight
the players closest to a change, ranked
Net transfer pressure from the official FPL API — buy before the rise, sell before the fall.
When do FPL prices change, and who is rising tonight?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
FPL price changes tonight
Net transfers for GW4 so far, largest movement first. Prices change once a day at 00:00 UK — moved for 2026/27 from the old 01:30 — so a player near the top of this table is the one most likely to move tonight. Buy before a rise, sell before a fall.
| Player | Club | Price | Call | Net transfers | In | Out | Owned | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly | MCI | £6.5m | FALL | −380,539 | 4,367 | 384,906 | 14.6% | — |
| Palmer | CHE | £9.6m | RISE | +362,925 | 437,744 | 74,819 | 23.1% | +£0.1m |
| Ødegaard | ARS | £6.6m | RISE | +301,382 | 369,112 | 67,730 | 14.6% | +£0.1m |
| Konsa | ARS | £4.4m | RISE | +280,571 | 342,786 | 62,215 | 13.9% | −£0.1m |
| B.Fernandes | MUN | £12.0m | FALL | −270,604 | 81,790 | 352,394 | 45.6% | — |
| Szoboszlai | LIV | £7.0m | FALL | −253,528 | 103,044 | 356,572 | 38.4% | — |
| Calafiori | ARS | £5.7m | RISE | +246,156 | 301,325 | 55,169 | 48.0% | +£0.2m |
| Hall | NEW | £5.1m | RISE | +246,127 | 308,540 | 62,413 | 12.1% | +£0.1m |
| Calvert-Lewin | LEE | £6.0m | FALL | −209,554 | 60,692 | 270,246 | 23.5% | — |
| Scott | BOU | £6.0m | RISE | +203,846 | 235,762 | 31,916 | 4.7% | — |
| Mendy | HUL | £4.0m | RISE | +168,422 | 206,059 | 37,637 | 7.5% | — |
| Ajayi | HUL | £4.1m | RISE | +166,177 | 211,248 | 45,071 | 11.4% | +£0.1m |
| João Pedro | CHE | £7.7m | RISE | +157,196 | 231,444 | 74,248 | 72.6% | +£0.2m |
| Brobbey | SUN | £5.9m | FALL | −140,089 | 10,477 | 150,566 | 7.7% | −£0.1m |
| Lammens | MUN | £5.0m | FALL | −133,371 | 7,955 | 141,326 | 12.1% | — |
| Gvardiol | MCI | £5.6m | RISE | +130,362 | 217,797 | 87,435 | 19.9% | +£0.1m |
| Tzolakis | HUL | £4.6m | RISE | +121,549 | 159,271 | 37,722 | 9.4% | +£0.1m |
| Gabriel | ARS | £8.0m | FALL | −116,078 | 35,069 | 151,147 | 24.6% | — |
| M.Sangaré | BRE | £5.7m | FALL | −110,949 | 78,425 | 189,374 | 13.8% | +£0.2m |
| Foden | MCI | £7.0m | FALL | −110,333 | 12,513 | 122,846 | 4.6% | — |
| Mitchell | CRY | £4.5m | RISE | +105,507 | 130,648 | 25,141 | 5.9% | — |
| Watkins | AVL | £7.8m | FALL | −93,367 | 0 | 93,367 | 3.3% | −£0.2m |
| Elanga | NEW | £6.1m | RISE | +89,961 | 207,844 | 117,883 | 11.0% | +£0.1m |
| Hume | SUN | £4.5m | FALL | −86,639 | 1,958 | 88,597 | 4.4% | — |
| Barnes | NEW | £6.0m | RISE | +86,280 | 115,815 | 29,535 | 2.0% | — |
| Janelt | BRE | £5.0m | RISE | +76,631 | 96,501 | 19,870 | 1.7% | — |
| E.Le Fée | SUN | £5.9m | FALL | −71,557 | 6,628 | 78,185 | 5.0% | −£0.1m |
| Senesi | TOT | £5.9m | FALL | −65,677 | 2,700 | 68,377 | 4.8% | −£0.1m |
| Kinsky | TOT | £4.5m | FALL | −65,003 | 70,800 | 135,803 | 18.6% | — |
| van Ewijk | COV | £4.0m | FALL | −63,473 | 19,555 | 83,028 | 11.0% | — |
“Season” is the player's total price movement since the season opened. Transfer counters reset at each deadline, so early in a gameweek the table is thinner than it will be by Friday. Injury flags drive most falls — check the flags first.
LIKELY TO RISE · TOP 15
LIKELY TO FALL · TOP 15
ALREADY CHANGED THIS GAMEWEEK
PRICE CHANGES · COMMON QUESTIONS
When do FPL prices change?
At 00:00 UK time, every day. This changed for 2026/27 — it used to be around 01:30 GMT / 02:30 BST. A player needs a net positive transfer balance (roughly +1,000 net) to rise £0.1m; a net negative balance of similar magnitude causes a £0.1m fall. Prices change at most once a day, and by at most £0.3m across a whole gameweek.
How can I predict FPL price rises?
The best predictor is net transfer activity: players being heavily brought in relative to sells are likely to rise. This page tracks that pressure in real time using the official FPL API. High ownership players are also more likely to move in price due to sheer volume.
How do I buy before tonight's FPL price rise?
Complete the transfer before 00:00 UK time, which is when prices now change in 2026/27. Once a player rises the new value applies immediately — you cannot retroactively benefit. Watch the "Likely to Rise" list through the evening and act before midnight.
What is the FPL price change threshold?
FPL uses a proprietary algorithm, but the widely accepted rule of thumb is: a net +1,000 transfers (in minus out) triggers a £0.1m rise; a net −1,000 triggers a £0.1m fall. High-ownership players (15%+) need larger volumes to move because the denominator is bigger.
How this tracker works
Transfer activity (in/out this gameweek) is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed hourly via ISR. Net delta = transfers in minus transfers out during the current gameweek. FPL applies its own pricing algorithm nightly — this data shows directional pressure, not a guarantee of change. Players with >+1,000 net transfers typically see a £0.1m rise; >−1,000 net typically fall.
Everything for your FPL 26/27 season
The same model that graded every World Cup call in public, pointed at Fantasy Premier League.