PRICE MOVES

FPL prices change overnight, usually between midnight and 2am UK time. A player needs a net positive transfer balance (roughly +1,000 net) to rise £0.1m; a net negative balance of similar magnitude causes a £0.1m fall. Prices can only change once per day.

The best predictor is net transfer activity: players being heavily brought in relative to sells are likely to rise. This page tracks that pressure in real time using the official FPL API. High ownership players are also more likely to move in price due to sheer volume.

You must complete your transfer before the FPL price-change window closes (typically before midnight UK time). Once a player rises in price, the new value applies immediately — you cannot retroactively benefit. Watch the "Likely to Rise" list and act early in the day.

FPL uses a proprietary algorithm, but the widely accepted rule of thumb is: a net +1,000 transfers (in minus out) triggers a £0.1m rise; a net −1,000 triggers a £0.1m fall. High-ownership players (15%+) need larger volumes to move because the denominator is bigger.

Transfer activity (in/out this gameweek) is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed hourly via ISR. Net delta = transfers in minus transfers out during the current gameweek. FPL applies its own pricing algorithm nightly — this data shows directional pressure, not a guarantee of change. Players with >+1,000 net transfers typically see a £0.1m rise; >−1,000 net typically fall.