QUICK ANSWER

Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives Colombia at 85% to win the Round of 32 clash between Colombia and Ghana. Colombia 85% · draw 10% · Ghana 5%. Match # 87 at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.

ROUND OF 32 · MATCH 87

MODEL · COL 85%KANSAS CITY4 Jul UTC

Colombia vs Ghana prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

COLOMBIA

85%

DRAW

10%

(then ET / pens)

GHANA

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

1.25 — 0.55

★ MODE

1–0

19.3%

0–0

17.9%

2–0

12.9%

1–1

12.7%

0–1

7.7%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

27%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

31%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

COLOMBIA · PL STARS

1.Daniel MuñozCrystal Palace
2.Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace

GHANA · PL STARS

1.Antoine SemenyoMan City

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Colombia vs Ghana World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Colombia 85%, draw 10%, and Ghana 5% in the Round of 32 — Colombia favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Colombia vs Ghana score prediction

The model leans Colombia by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 76%.

Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 fixture at Kansas City, kickoff Sat 4 Jul, 01:30 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (COL #13 vs GHA #74), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

Colombia vs Ghana line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · Colombia vs Ghana

Who is the favourite to win Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32?

Colombia is the model's favourite at 85%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is Colombia vs Ghana?

Colombia face Ghana at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, kickoff Saturday 4 July at 01:30 UTC.

What's the predicted score for Colombia vs Ghana?

The model's predicted scoreline is Colombia 1-1 Ghana (expected goals 1.2 v 0.5). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 76%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

Colombia →Ghana →Pick the score →Full bracket →