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England vs DR Congo Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives England at 85% to win the Round of 32 clash between England and DR Congo. England 85% · draw 9% · DR Congo 6%. Match # 80 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
ROUND OF 32 · MATCH 80
MODEL · ENG 85%ATLANTA1 Jul UTC

England vs DR Congo prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the England vs DR Congo Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

ENGLAND
85%
DRAW
9%
(then ET / pens)
DR CONGO
6%
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.65 — 0.92
★ MODE
1–1
13.0%
1–0
11.3%
2–0
10.5%
2–1
9.6%
0–0
9.1%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
47%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
50%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

ENGLAND · PL STARS
  1. 1.Dean HendersonCrystal Palace
  2. 2.Jordan PickfordEverton
  3. 3.James TraffordMan City
DR CONGO · PL STARS
  1. 1.Yoane WissaNewcastle
  2. 2.Aaron Wan-BissakaWest Ham
QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

England vs DR Congo World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives England 85%, draw 9%, and DR Congo 6% in the Round of 32 — England favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

England vs DR Congo score prediction

The model leans England by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 76%.

England vs DR Congo Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 fixture at Atlanta, kickoff Wed 1 Jul, 16:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (ENG #4 vs COD #46), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

England vs DR Congo line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · England vs DR Congo

Who is the favourite to win England vs DR Congo Round of 32?

England is the model's favourite at 85%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is England vs DR Congo?

England face DR Congo at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, kickoff Wednesday 1 July at 16:00 UTC.

What's the predicted score for England vs DR Congo?

The model's predicted scoreline is England 2-1 DR Congo (expected goals 1.6 v 0.9). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 76%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

England →DR Congo →Pick the score →Full bracket →
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