QUICK ANSWER

Germany vs Paraguay Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives Germany at 82% to win the Round of 32 clash between Germany and Paraguay. Germany 82% · draw 10% · Paraguay 8%. Match # 74 at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

ROUND OF 32 · MATCH 74

MODEL · GER 82%FOXBOROUGH29 Jun UTC

Germany vs Paraguay prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the Germany vs Paraguay Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

GERMANY

82%

DRAW

10%

(then ET / pens)

PARAGUAY

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

2.48 — 1.02

★ MODE

2–1

9.5%

2–0

9.3%

1–1

8.6%

3–1

7.8%

3–0

7.7%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

GERMANY · PL STARS

1.Malick ThiawNewcastle
2.Pascal GroßBrighton
3.Florian WirtzLiverpool

PARAGUAY · PL STARS

1.Diego GómezBrighton

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Germany vs Paraguay World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Germany 82%, draw 10%, and Paraguay 8% in the Round of 32 — Germany favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Germany vs Paraguay score prediction

The model leans Germany by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 75%.

Germany vs Paraguay Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 fixture at Foxborough, kickoff Mon 29 Jun, 20:30 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (GER #10 vs PAR #40), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

Germany vs Paraguay line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · Germany vs Paraguay

Who is the favourite to win Germany vs Paraguay Round of 32?

Germany is the model's favourite at 82%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is Germany vs Paraguay?

Germany face Paraguay at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, kickoff Monday 29 June at 20:30 UTC.

What's the predicted score for Germany vs Paraguay?

The model's predicted scoreline is Germany 2-1 Paraguay (expected goals 2.5 v 1.0). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 75%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

Germany →Paraguay →Pick the score →Full bracket →