QUICK ANSWER

Norway vs England Quarter-final prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives England at 79% to win the Quarter-final clash between Norway and England. Norway 9% · draw 12% · England 79%. Match # 99 at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

QUARTER-FINAL · MATCH 99

MODEL · ENG 79%MIAMI GARDENS11 Jul UTC

Norway vs England prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the Norway vs England Quarter-final fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

NORWAY

DRAW

12%

(then ET / pens)

ENGLAND

79%

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

1.40 — 2.34

★ MODE

1–2

9.1%

1–1

8.7%

1–3

7.1%

0–2

6.5%

2–2

6.4%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

72%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

69%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

NORWAY · PL STARS

1.David Møller WolfeWolves
2.Kristoffer AjerBrentford
3.Martin ØdegaardArsenal

ENGLAND · PL STARS

1.Dean HendersonCrystal Palace
2.Jordan PickfordEverton
3.James TraffordMan City

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Norway vs England World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Norway 9%, draw 12%, and England 79% in the Quarter-final — England favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Norway vs England score prediction

The model leans England by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 73%.

Norway vs England Quarter-final — when & where

Quarter-final fixture at Miami Gardens, kickoff Sat 11 Jul, 21:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (NOR #31 vs ENG #4), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

Norway vs England line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · Norway vs England

Who is the favourite to win Norway vs England Quarter-final?

England is the model's favourite at 79%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is Norway vs England?

Norway face England at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, kickoff Saturday 11 July at 21:00 UTC.

What's the predicted score for Norway vs England?

The model's predicted scoreline is Norway 1-2 England (expected goals 1.4 v 2.3). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 73%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

Norway →England →Pick the score →Full bracket →