QUICK ANSWER

France vs Morocco Quarter-final prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives France at 52% to win the Quarter-final clash between France and Morocco. France 52% · draw 24% · Morocco 24%. Match # 97 at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

QUARTER-FINAL · MATCH 97

MODEL · FRA 52%FOXBOROUGH9 Jul UTC

France vs Morocco prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the France vs Morocco Quarter-final fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

FRANCE

52%

DRAW

24%

(then ET / pens)

MOROCCO

24%

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

2.04 — 1.19

★ MODE

1–1

10.8%

2–1

9.8%

2–0

8.2%

1–0

6.9%

3–1

6.7%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

FRANCE · PL STARS

1.Lucas DigneAston Villa
2.Malo GustoChelsea
3.Ibrahima KonatéLiverpool

MOROCCO · PL STARS

1.Noussair MazraouiMan Utd
2.Chadi RiadCrystal Palace
3.Issa DiopWest Ham

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

France vs Morocco World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives France 52%, draw 24%, and Morocco 24% in the Quarter-final — France favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

France vs Morocco score prediction

The model leans France by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 60%.

France vs Morocco Quarter-final — when & where

Quarter-final fixture at Foxborough, kickoff Thu 9 Jul, 20:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (FRA #1 vs MAR #8), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

France vs Morocco line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · France vs Morocco

Who is the favourite to win France vs Morocco Quarter-final?

France is the model's favourite at 52%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is France vs Morocco?

France face Morocco at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, kickoff Thursday 9 July at 20:00 UTC.

What's the predicted score for France vs Morocco?

The model's predicted scoreline is France 2-1 Morocco (expected goals 2.0 v 1.2). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 60%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

France →Morocco →Pick the score →Full bracket →