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Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives Norway at 45% to win the Round of 32 clash between Ivory Coast and Norway. Ivory Coast 29% · draw 26% · Norway 45%. Bracket slot not yet locked — page updates the moment FIFA's knockout draw seeds this pair.

ROUND OF 32 · HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUP

MODEL · NOR 45%BRACKET LOCKS AFTER MD3

Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

BRACKET STATUS

This matchup isn't seeded yet

FIFA's 48-team Round of 32 bracket isn't locked until the group stage ends and the third-place quota resolves. We've still rendered Onside's pre-tournament model probability for Ivory Coast vs Norway above. When the official bracket places these two sides into a live fixture slot, this page activates with venue, kickoff and full tactical breakdown.

Track the live bracket at /world-cup-2026/bracket · standings live at /world-cup-2026/groups.

IVORY COAST

29%

DRAW

26%

(then ET / pens)

NORWAY

45%

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

1.43 — 1.40

★ MODE

1–1

13.2%

2–1

8.5%

1–2

8.3%

0–0

7.3%

1–0

7.0%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

59%

Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

IVORY COAST · PL STARS

1.Ibrahim SangaréNott'm Forest
2.Simon AdingraSunderland
3.Amad DialloMan Utd

NORWAY · PL STARS

1.David Møller WolfeWolves
2.Kristoffer AjerBrentford
3.Martin ØdegaardArsenal

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Ivory Coast vs Norway World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Ivory Coast 29%, draw 26%, and Norway 45% in the Round of 32 — Norway favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Ivory Coast vs Norway score prediction

The model leans Norway by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 56%.

Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 matchup — venue and kickoff activate the moment FIFA's bracket draw seeds these two sides. Model anchors: FIFA rank (CIV #34 vs NOR #31), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

Ivory Coast vs Norway line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · Ivory Coast vs Norway

Who is the favourite to win Ivory Coast vs Norway Round of 32?

Norway is the model's favourite at 45%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is Ivory Coast vs Norway?

Ivory Coast vs Norway is a hypothetical Round of 32 matchup — the bracket isn't locked until the group stage finishes. This page activates with real venue + kickoff data the moment FIFA's bracket draw resolves these two teams into the same fixture slot.

What's the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

The model's predicted scoreline is Ivory Coast 1-1 Norway (expected goals 1.4 v 1.4). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 56%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

Ivory Coast →Norway →Pick the score →Full bracket →