QUICK ANSWER

Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026

Onside's AI model gives Colombia at 92% to win the Round of 32 clash between Colombia and Ghana. Colombia 92% · draw 5% · Ghana 3%. Bracket slot not yet locked — page updates the moment FIFA's knockout draw seeds this pair.

ROUND OF 32 · HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUP

MODEL · COL 92%BRACKET LOCKS AFTER MD3

Colombia vs Ghana prediction

The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.

BRACKET STATUS

This matchup isn't seeded yet

FIFA's 48-team Round of 32 bracket isn't locked until the group stage ends and the third-place quota resolves. We've still rendered Onside's pre-tournament model probability for Colombia vs Ghana above. When the official bracket places these two sides into a live fixture slot, this page activates with venue, kickoff and full tactical breakdown.

Track the live bracket at /world-cup-2026/bracket · standings live at /world-cup-2026/groups.

COLOMBIA

92%

DRAW

(then ET / pens)

GHANA

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · BIVARIATE POISSON

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

1.86 — 1.06

★ MODE

1–1

11.9%

2–1

9.9%

2–0

9.4%

1–0

8.8%

0–0

6.7%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

Pre-tournament prior model — posterior updates as the group stage plays. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

COLOMBIA · PL STARS

1.Daniel MuñozCrystal Palace
2.Jefferson LermaCrystal Palace

GHANA · PL STARS

1.Antoine SemenyoMan City

QUICK FACTS · MODEL OUTPUTS

Colombia vs Ghana World Cup 2026 prediction

Onside's model gives Colombia 92%, draw 5%, and Ghana 3% in the Round of 32 — Colombia favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.

Colombia vs Ghana score prediction

The model leans Colombia by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 80%.

Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32 — when & where

Round of 32 matchup — venue and kickoff activate the moment FIFA's bracket draw seeds these two sides. Model anchors: FIFA rank (COL #13 vs GHA #74), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.

Colombia vs Ghana line up

Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.

FAQ · Colombia vs Ghana

Who is the favourite to win Colombia vs Ghana Round of 32?

Colombia is the model's favourite at 92%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.

When and where is Colombia vs Ghana?

Colombia vs Ghana is a hypothetical Round of 32 matchup — the bracket isn't locked until the group stage finishes. This page activates with real venue + kickoff data the moment FIFA's bracket draw resolves these two teams into the same fixture slot.

What's the predicted score for Colombia vs Ghana?

The model's predicted scoreline is Colombia 2-1 Ghana (expected goals 1.9 v 1.1). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 80%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.

Where can I see the model's accuracy?

Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.

Colombia →Ghana →Pick the score →Full bracket →