South Africa vs Canada Round of 32 prediction — World Cup 2026
South Africa vs Canada prediction
The Onside AI Monte Carlo simulator's verdict on the South Africa vs Canada Round of 32 fixture. Probabilities refresh every 10 minutes.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 3 played matches. Scorelines computed from the model's bivariate Poisson with low-score (Dixon-Coles) correction. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
- 1.Lyle FosterBurnley
- No Premier League regulars in this squad.
South Africa vs Canada World Cup 2026 prediction
Onside's model gives South Africa 9%, draw 13%, and Canada 78% in the Round of 32 — Canada favoured. Every call is publicly graded after full-time on the model record.
South Africa vs Canada score prediction
The model leans Canada by a single goal; knockout fixtures compress, so expect a tight 1-0 or 2-1 rather than a blowout. Over-2.5-goals probability sits near 73%.
South Africa vs Canada Round of 32 — when & where
Round of 32 fixture at Inglewood, kickoff Sun 28 Jun, 19:00 UTC. Model anchors: FIFA rank (RSA #60 vs CAN #30), confederation, and live form learned from this tournament's results.
South Africa vs Canada line up
Probable XIs and confirmed lineups land at the match centre as soon as managers release them — typically ~1 hour before kickoff. Onside's player-projection engine pre-computes the most-likely scoring threats per side from current tournament form.
FAQ · South Africa vs Canada
Who is the favourite to win South Africa vs Canada Round of 32?
Canada is the model's favourite at 78%. Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulator combines each side's team strength and the matchup context to derive the probability.
When and where is South Africa vs Canada?
South Africa face Canada at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, kickoff Sunday 28 June at 19:00 UTC.
What's the predicted score for South Africa vs Canada?
The model's predicted scoreline is South Africa 1-2 Canada (expected goals 0.9 v 1.8). Goals-over-2.5 sits around 73%. Knockout matches are typically tighter than the model implies, so in a level tie expect low-scoring margins and extra-time risk.
Where can I see the model's accuracy?
Live receipts at /world-cup-2026/model-record. Every settled prediction is graded with a Brier-style scorecard so the model's accuracy is publicly auditable.
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