How FPL price changes work
FPL prices move with demand. When many more managers buy a player than sell him, his price rises by £0.1m; when many more sell, it falls. Changes happen overnight, at most once a day for any one player, and FPL does not publish the exact thresholds, which is why price-change predictions are estimates rather than certainties.
The tables below are the game's own record: the players whose price has moved since the last deadline, and the biggest movers since the season began.
| Player | Pos | Club | Price | This GW | Season | Pts | Form | Next 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Jackson | FWD | AVL | £6.8m | +£0.2m | +£0.3m | 34 | 8.0 | FUL (H)MUN (A)SUN (H) |
| Tavernier | MID | BOU | £6.4m | +£0.2m | +£0.4m | 52 | 7.0 | LEE (H)IPS (A)NFO (H) |
| Isak | FWD | LIV | £9.1m | +£0.1m | +£0.1m | 51 | 6.0 | ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H) |
| Evanilson | FWD | BOU | £6.2m | +£0.1m | +£0.2m | 43 | 8.3 | LEE (H)IPS (A)NFO (H) |
| Konsa | DEF | ARS | £4.7m | +£0.1m | +£0.2m | 39 | 9.0 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| Manzambi | MID | AVL | £6.1m | +£0.1m | +£0.1m | 31 | 5.7 | FUL (H)MUN (A)SUN (H) |
| Haaland | FWD | MCI | £15.8m | +£0.1m | +£0.3m | 66 | 9.0 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| Neto | MID | CHE | £6.6m | +£0.1m | +£0.1m | 37 | 7.7 | MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H) |
| Player | Pos | Club | Price | This GW | Season | Pts | Form | Next 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João PedroInjured | FWD | CHE | £7.8m | −£0.1m | +£0.3m | 47 | 4.7 | MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H) |
| SakaInjured | MID | ARS | £9.5m | −£0.1m | £0.0m | 37 | 1.7 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| B.Fernandes | MID | MUN | £11.7m | −£0.1m | −£0.3m | 33 | 0.7 | CHE (A)AVL (H)LIV (A) |
| SzoboszlaiInjured | MID | LIV | £6.7m | −£0.1m | −£0.3m | 21 | 0.3 | ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H) |
| SemenyoInjured | MID | MCI | £8.2m | −£0.1m | −£0.3m | 37 | 1.3 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| Wissa | FWD | NEW | £6.0m | −£0.1m | £0.0m | 19 | 1.3 | EVE (H)FUL (A)ARS (H) |
| Ødegaard | MID | ARS | £6.7m | −£0.1m | +£0.2m | 36 | 2.3 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| Gonzalo | FWD | FUL | £6.0m | −£0.1m | £0.0m | 20 | 2.0 | AVL (A)NEW (H)MCI (A) |
| Player | Pos | Club | Price | Season | Owned | Pts | Form | Next 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Cuyper | DEF | BHA | £5.3m | +£0.8m | 42.5% | 60 | 7.3 | MCI (A)BRE (H)HUL (A) |
| Groß | MID | BHA | £6.2m | +£0.7m | 46.2% | 58 | 3.7 | MCI (A)BRE (H)HUL (A) |
| Cherki | MID | MCI | £8.0m | +£0.5m | 38.2% | 44 | 3.3 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| Rogers | MID | CHE | £8.0m | +£0.5m | 50.2% | 41 | 4.0 | MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H) |
| Calafiori75% to play | DEF | ARS | £6.0m | +£0.5m | 51.0% | 45 | 5.3 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| Tavernier | MID | BOU | £6.4m | +£0.4m | 20.0% | 52 | 7.0 | LEE (H)IPS (A)NFO (H) |
| N.Jackson | FWD | AVL | £6.8m | +£0.3m | 13.5% | 34 | 8.0 | FUL (H)MUN (A)SUN (H) |
| Haaland | FWD | MCI | £15.8m | +£0.3m | 78.3% | 66 | 9.0 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| Player | Pos | Club | Price | Season | Owned | Pts | Form | Next 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyökeres | FWD | ARS | £7.0m | −£0.5m | 3.1% | 9 | 2.3 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| Tel | MID | TOT | £5.6m | −£0.4m | 0.4% | 20 | 4.0 | CRY (H)LEE (A)IPS (H) |
| Fernandes | MID | TOT | £5.6m | −£0.4m | 0.7% | 16 | 3.0 | CRY (H)LEE (A)IPS (H) |
| B.Fernandes | MID | MUN | £11.7m | −£0.3m | 24.0% | 33 | 0.7 | CHE (A)AVL (H)LIV (A) |
| SzoboszlaiInjured | MID | LIV | £6.7m | −£0.3m | 14.7% | 21 | 0.3 | ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H) |
| SemenyoInjured | MID | MCI | £8.2m | −£0.3m | 7.5% | 37 | 1.3 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| ShawInjured | DEF | MUN | £4.2m | −£0.3m | 4.3% | 12 | 1.0 | CHE (A)AVL (H)LIV (A) |
| Maguire | DEF | MUN | £4.7m | −£0.3m | 6.1% | 16 | 2.0 | CHE (A)AVL (H)LIV (A) |
Price changes are FPL’s own: this gameweek since its deadline, and the season since launch. Ties are broken by transfer volume in the same direction.
The selling rule: why you keep only half
When a player you own rises, you do not get the full rise back when you sell. FPL pays you half of the profit, rounded down to the nearest £0.1m. Buy a player at £6.0m, watch him rise to £6.3m, and he sells for £6.1m: half of £0.3m is £0.15m, rounded down to £0.1m.
Two things follow. A single £0.1m rise earns you nothing on resale until it is followed by a second. And a player who falls costs you the full fall, so the asymmetry favours selling early a player you already planned to sell.
What drives tomorrow's changes
Tonight's rises and falls are driven by the transfers managers have made since the last deadline. The most-bought list below is usually where the next rises come from, and the most-sold list where the next falls come from, adjusted for how many managers already own each player.
| Player | Pos | Club | Price | In | Owned | Pts | Form | Next 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N.Jackson | FWD | AVL | £6.8m | 961,222 | 13.5% | 34 | 8.0 | FUL (H)MUN (A)SUN (H) |
| Tavernier | MID | BOU | £6.4m | 679,588 | 20.0% | 52 | 7.0 | LEE (H)IPS (A)NFO (H) |
| Isak | FWD | LIV | £9.1m | 374,931 | 17.2% | 51 | 6.0 | ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H) |
| Evanilson | FWD | BOU | £6.2m | 359,463 | 9.4% | 43 | 8.3 | LEE (H)IPS (A)NFO (H) |
| Konsa | DEF | ARS | £4.7m | 207,274 | 20.4% | 39 | 9.0 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| Gabriel | DEF | ARS | £7.9m | 186,150 | 22.9% | 52 | 9.0 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| Manzambi | MID | AVL | £6.1m | 177,308 | 4.9% | 31 | 5.7 | FUL (H)MUN (A)SUN (H) |
| Cherki | MID | MCI | £8.0m | 131,824 | 38.2% | 44 | 3.3 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| Player | Pos | Club | Price | Out | Owned | Pts | Form | Next 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João PedroInjured | FWD | CHE | £7.8m | 1,155,498 | 62.6% | 47 | 4.7 | MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H) |
| Calafiori75% to play | DEF | ARS | £6.0m | 341,560 | 51.0% | 45 | 5.3 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| SakaInjured | MID | ARS | £9.5m | 243,103 | 8.2% | 37 | 1.7 | LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A) |
| B.Fernandes | MID | MUN | £11.7m | 237,154 | 24.0% | 33 | 0.7 | CHE (A)AVL (H)LIV (A) |
| Cherki | MID | MCI | £8.0m | 222,480 | 38.2% | 44 | 3.3 | BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H) |
| Calvert-Lewin | FWD | LEE | £6.1m | 185,907 | 21.3% | 35 | 4.3 | BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A) |
| Palmer | MID | CHE | £9.8m | 179,128 | 27.3% | 37 | 3.0 | MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H) |
| SzoboszlaiInjured | MID | LIV | £6.7m | 176,126 | 14.7% | 21 | 0.3 | ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H) |
Transfers made by all FPL managers since the last deadline. Fixtures are coloured by FPL’s own difficulty rating, green easiest to red hardest.
When price should change a transfer
Price should change the timing of a transfer, not whether you make it. If you were going to buy a player this week or next anyway, buying him before a likely rise saves £0.1m you would otherwise lose. If you were going to sell a player anyway, selling before a likely fall saves the same.
What price should never do is create a transfer. Buying a player you do not rate because he is about to rise is spending a free transfer to gain a fraction of a pound. Points win mini-leagues; team value only matters because it buys points later.
Team value across a season
Team value grows slowly for managers who buy good players early, and it matters most when you rebuild with a wildcard, because the extra money can turn a compromise into the squad you want. It is a by-product of good decisions, not a target. The managers with the highest team values are usually the ones who were right early, not the ones who chased rises.