AFCEST 1886
FPL · ARSENAL · 26/27
Mikel Arteta era · pre-fixtures release
FPL · ARSENAL · 2026-27

Arsenal FPL Picks 2026/27

Arsenal are Premier League champions. Mikel Arteta's fifth full season under the same system. The Onside model rates Bukayo Saka, Gabriel (200+ FPL points 25/26) and David Raya as essential 26/27 owns. Full per-position breakdown.

By Onside3 min read
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Arsenal FPL Picks 2026/27

CORRECTION
  • Gabriel Martinelli has joined Al Hilal permanently and is no longer in the game. He led the Arsenal differential bracket below; Eberechi Eze (£6.4m) replaces him there and in the fourth-Arsenal-slot answer. The three anchors are unchanged: Saka, Gabriel, Raya.
Arsenal are Premier League champions. Mikel Arteta's fifth full season under the same system. The Onside model rates Bukayo Saka, Gabriel (200+ FPL points 25/26) and David Raya as essential 26/27 owns. Full per-position breakdown.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

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Analysis by the Onside model · model graded in public, ~15% more accurate than FPLPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-09-06
LIVE OWNERSHIP

Arsenal's most-owned FPL players right now

  1. 1
    Calafiori
    DEF · £5.8m · form 7.0
    49.8%
    OWNED
  2. 2
    Raya
    GK · £6.0m · form 7.2
    39.8%
    OWNED
  3. 3
    Gabriel
    DEF · £8.0m · form 6.0
    23.6%
    OWNED
  4. 4
    Ødegaard
    MID · £6.7m · form 6.8
    18.9%
    OWNED
  5. 5
    Konsa
    DEF · £4.5m · form 2.8
    17.6%
    OWNED
  6. 6
    Tzolis
    MID · £6.4m · form 3.5
    15.2%
    OWNED
AFCEST 1886
PREMIER LEAGUE · 26/27
Arsenal
Mikel Arteta · 4-3-3 · high press · set-piece specialist
xG RANK #3xGA RANK #1FDR 2.6
ONSIDE MODEL · ARSENAL · 25/26 FORM
Last 10 gameweeks · points per game
10-GW AVG
2.38
LAST GW
2.4
CLUB · 26/27 OUTLOOK
MANAGER
Mikel Arteta
✓ CONTINUITY
SYSTEM
4-3-3 · high press · set-piece specialist
25/26 xG-FOR
3rd
TOP-6
GW1-5 FDR
2.6
NEUTRAL
NEXT 5 · CALLED BY THE MODEL

Arsenal's road ahead

PREDICTED FINAL TABLE →
FULL 38-FIXTURE OUTLOOK
PLAYERS · 26/27 SPOTLIGHT
4 picks · checked after GW2

Arsenal’s key FPL assets

CAPTAINMID

Bukayo Saka

Penalty taker · Tier 2 GW1 captain

PRICE · LIVE
£9.5m
GW1-5 PPG
7.4
18%GW1 CAPTAINSAKA
GW1
18%
GW1-5
22%
SEASON
17%
20 pts·157 mins·10.5% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Champions opener + no CL midweek before GW1 = strongest non-Haaland captain pick.

PREMIUMDEF

Gabriel

200+ FPL pts in 25/26 (only DEF)

PRICE · LIVE
£8.0m
GW1-5 PPG
6.0
13 pts·180 mins·26.5% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Only defender to break 200 pts last season. Set-piece target + bonus engine.

PREMIUMGK

David Raya

PL Golden Glove contender

PRICE · LIVE
£6.0m
GW1-5 PPG
4.8
12 pts·180 mins·37.9% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Most reliable premium goalkeeper. Best xGA defence in the league.

VALUEDEF

Calafiori

3.36 xG last season — a defender

PRICE · LIVE
£5.6m
GW1-5 PPG
5.0
20 pts·170 mins·43.5% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Arsenal’s attacking left-sided defender at £5.5m. Timber was here until 13 Aug and is out with a groin injury and no return date.

Price, minutes, points, ownership and availability are read from the FPL game after GW2 (2026-09-02). The verdict line is Onside's model take and is editorial.

Bukayo SakaArsenal · £9.5m
proj ppg · GW1–57.4
graded record →

Arsenal are champions — and the FPL template engine

Arsenal won the 2025/26 Premier League with 85 points and +44 goal difference. Mikel Arteta enters his fifth full season under the same tactical identity, with the same set-piece coach (Nicolas Jover), the same back-line spine on paper (Saliba, Gabriel, Raya) — though Saliba is out with a back injury until October at the earliest — and a clear plan for the remaining attacking gaps. For Fantasy Premier League managers, no other club generates as much template ownership: Arsenal regularly produces 3-4 must-own assets per season, and 26/27 looks no different. The team's xG-against rank of 1st (33.56 xGA) was the best defence in the league — that is the FPL foundation Arteta has built.

Bukayo Saka and Gabriel — the two must-own anchors

Two Arsenal assets sit in mandatory-own territory for 26/27. Bukayo Saka (projected £9.5-10m) is Arsenal's penalty taker, Tier 2 GW1 captain shortlist, and the highest-floor premium attacker outside the Haaland/Bruno bracket. He returns from his managed-minutes era as Arsenal's lead attacking outlet under no Champions League midweek before GW1.

Gabriel (projected £6.0m) was the only defender to clear 200 FPL points last season — an extraordinary feat that combines clean sheets, set-piece goals from corners, and elite bonus point accumulation. David Raya (projected £5.5m) is the Premier League's most reliable premium goalkeeper. The Onside model views Saka + Gabriel + Raya as the cleanest "triple Arsenal" template start, with the fourth spot variable.

Mid-price + differential options at Arsenal

Below the three anchors, the Arsenal differential bracket runs through Eberechi Eze (£6.4m — the standout set-piece addition of the window), Declan Rice (£7.5m midfielder who takes some corners and direct free kicks), and Martin Ødegaard (£6.5m playmaker — under-rated on penalty-taker absence). Jurriën Timber (projected £5.5m attacking-FB, 8.0 PPG in 25/26) was the pick of this bracket and returns to it when fit, but a groin injury with no return date rules him out of GW1. The window delivered the re-shape: Eberechi Eze (£6.4m), Noni Madueke (£6.3m) and Viktor Gyökeres (£7.3m) all arrived — each a live differential route into the champions, with Eze the standout set-piece addition.

Calafiori and Tzolis — two Arsenal picks this page skipped

Riccardo Calafiori (£5.7m) is owned by 30.9% of the game, which makes him the second-most-owned Arsenal player behind Saka and a bigger template pick than Gabriel. Christos Tzolis (£6.5m, 18.4%) is the mid-price midfield route into this attack.

The Saka-and-Gabriel framing above is not wrong, but it describes a two-man Arsenal template that the market has since widened to four. Verified against the live FPL API on 20 August.

Arsenal's GW1-5 captaincy and ownership angle

Arsenal are the bookmakers' 6/4 favourites to retain the Premier League title — clear shortest odds. Combined with the no-Champions-League-midweek-before-GW1 advantage, that makes Arsenal home assets the strongest "captain in a home opener" candidates outside of Manchester City. Saka becomes a Tier 1 captain alternative to Haaland the moment Arsenal's GW1 fixture is at home against a bottom-half side.

Defensive double-up strategy (Saka + Gabriel + Raya) is the modal Arsenal exposure for top-1k squads. The budget alternative of Timber + Gabriel + Raya is off the table while Timber is out with a groin injury and no return date. Arsenal are the only club where four-asset exposure is statistically defensible because the xG-against engine is that strong.

SEASON FORECAST · 10,000 SIMULATIONS

Where will Arsenal finish in 2026/27?

The Onside model simulated all 380 fixtures 10,000 times: Arsenal's median finish is 2nd on 84 points (58104 across the 5–95% range), with 40.2% to win the title.

2nd
Median finish
84 pts
Range 58–104
40.2%
Title chance
0.0%
Relegation risk

Champions, 6/4 and FIRMING even with Saliba out to October — Hincapié, Meslier and now Konsa (£55m) arrived to cover, plus Tzolis width. The market's clear pick.

Full predicted table, all 20 clubs →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Bukayo Saka (projected £9.5-10m, penalty taker), Gabriel (£8.0m — only defender to clear 200 FPL points in 25/26), and David Raya (£6.0m, premium GK) are the three Onside model "must-own" Arsenal anchors. Rice and Ødegaard fill the mid-price differential slots; Timber joins them once his groin injury clears, but there is no return date on it.

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