FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 5

THE GW5 CAPTAIN

who gets the armband — ranked by the model

DEADLINE Fri 18 Sept, 18:30 UK timeMONTE CARLO k=2,000GRADED IN PUBLIC
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Who should I captain in FPL Gameweek 5?

Onside's top captain pick for Gameweek 5 is Schade, projected 7.7 points before the armband doubles it. The alternatives, in model order, are Saka, Gibbs-White. Every pick is ranked by expected points from a 2,000-run Monte Carlo over the GW5 fixtures, and the record is graded in public.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESchade 7.7 xPts · GW5
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01

THE PICK · GW5

Kevin Schade
BRE
THE ARMBAND · #1
Schade
MID · £6.0m
GREATDIFFERENTIAL · 5%
FLOOR 4.7xP 7.7CEIL 14.1
7.7
PROJECTED xP

Captain — Schade has the highest haul chance. 21% haul chance.

14.1
CEILING
4.7
FLOOR
5%
OWNED
+1.0
EDGE v #2
Bukayo Saka
ARS · £9.5m · 11.8%
FLOOR 3.0xP 6.7CEIL 12.0
6.7
xP
Morgan Gibbs-White
NFO · £7.9m · 10.4%
FLOOR 3.6xP 6.5CEIL 10.9
6.5
xP
PROJECTED xP · THE FULL SHORTLIST · FIXTURE DIFFICULTY 1–5
Onside captain shortlist for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 5 — rank, player, fixture with difficulty rating, and projected points
RankPlayerFixture and difficultyProjected points, as a barProjected points
1Schadev CHE 47.7
2Saka@ BHA 36.7
3Gibbs-Whitev COV 26.5
4Tavernierv LIV 46.2
5Belloumi@ NEW 35.9
6Haalandv SUN 25.8
7Rogers@ BRE 35.8
8B.Fernandes@ FUL 35.7
9Emersonn@ EVE 35.5
10João Pedro@ BRE 35.4
02THE CAPTAIN BRACKET · H2H

Percentages are projected effective ownership — how much of the field is expected to captain each player. The xP ladder above ranks by expected points, so the most-captained pick isn’t always the model’s #1.

03

THE RECORD · GRADED IN PUBLIC

EVERY TOP PICK IS SCORED AFTER THE GAMEWEEK — THE LEDGER STARTS WITH GW1.

GW5 CAPTAIN · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who should I captain in FPL GW5?

Onside's top captain pick for GW5 is Schade (BRE) with 7.7 projected xP. Captain — Schade has the highest haul chance. 21% haul chance. Alternatives: Saka, Gibbs-White, Tavernier, Belloumi, Haaland, Rogers, B.Fernandes, Emersonn, João Pedro.

What is a differential captain option for GW5?

Schade (4.9% owned, 7.7 xP) is a differential captain option for GW5 — owned by fewer managers than the consensus pick, offering a rank-up opportunity if they deliver. Captain — Schade has the highest haul chance. 21% haul chance.

When is the GW5 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW5 deadline is Fri 18 Sept, 18:30 UK time. All transfers, captaincy choices, and chip activations must be confirmed before this time.

How does Onside pick the best FPL captain?

Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs a Monte Carlo simulation to rank captains by expected value — the median of each player's doubled-score distribution. The top pick maximises median captaincy return, not just peak upside. How the signals are built and weighted is proprietary.

Vice-captain tip

Always consider the vice-captain — if your captain blanks, your VC is the safety net. Pair a premium pick (e.g. a big-six midfielder in a home game) with a differential VC for maximum upside. The Onside engine scores both, so check the #2 and #3 picks as VC candidates.

RANKED BY ONSIDE v5 · MONTE CARLO k=2,000 · xP = MEDIAN OF DOUBLED-SCORE DISTRIBUTION · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY