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BREEST 1889
FPL · BRENTFORD · 26/27
Thomas Frank era · pre-fixtures release
FPL · BRENTFORD · 2026-27

Brentford FPL Picks 2026/27

Brentford finished 9th in 25/26 — Igor Thiago hit 22 Premier League goals (2nd in Golden Boot). Set-piece coach Keith Andrews enters Year 2. Bryan Mbeumo has left for Manchester United, so the FPL case now runs through Thiago and the set-piece defenders.

By Onside2 min read
QUICK ANSWER

Brentford FPL Picks 2026/27

CORRECTION
  • Nathan Collins is OUT with a calf injury (no return date as of 13 Sep 2026) — he cannot be picked. The value defender at Brentford while he is out is Kayode (£4.6m), the club’s top-scoring available defender.
Brentford finished 9th in 25/26 — Igor Thiago hit 22 Premier League goals (2nd in Golden Boot). Set-piece coach Keith Andrews enters Year 2. Bryan Mbeumo has left for Manchester United, so the FPL case now runs through Thiago and the set-piece defenders.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

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Analysis by the Onside model · model graded in public, ~15% more accurate than FPLPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-09-02
LIVE OWNERSHIP

Brentford's most-owned FPL players right now

  1. 1
    M.Sangaré
    MID · £5.7m · form 5.5
    12.5%
    OWNED
  2. 2
    Thiago
    FWD · £7.9m · form 1.2
    10.0%
    OWNED
  3. 3
    Kayode
    DEF · £4.6m · form 4.2
    8.4%
    OWNED
  4. 4
    Kelleher
    GK · £5.0m · form 3.5
    6.5%
    OWNED
  5. 5
    Schade
    MID · £6.0m · form 7.5
    5.0%
    OWNED
  6. 6
    Ajer
    DEF · £4.5m · form 3.5
    4.5%
    OWNED
Predicted BRE XI this week →Which of them should be in your squad? →
BREEST 1889
PREMIER LEAGUE · 26/27
Brentford
Thomas Frank · 4-2-3-1 · set-piece specialist · Andrews routines
xG RANK #10xGA RANK #14FDR 2.6
ONSIDE MODEL · BRENTFORD · 25/26 FORM
Last 10 gameweeks · points per game
10-GW AVG
1.51
LAST GW
1.4
CLUB · 26/27 OUTLOOK
MANAGER
Thomas Frank
✓ CONTINUITY
SYSTEM
4-2-3-1 · set-piece specialist · Andrews routines
25/26 xG-FOR
10th
MID
GW1-5 FDR
2.6
NEUTRAL
NEXT 5 · CALLED BY THE MODEL

Brentford's road ahead

PREDICTED FINAL TABLE →
GW5HOME
CHE
1–2
41% WIN
GW6AWAY
AVL
1–1
39% WIN
GW7HOME
LIV
1–2
35% WIN
GW8AWAY
HUL
1–0
40% WIN
GW9HOME
NFO
1–0
44% WIN
▸FULL 38-FIXTURE OUTLOOK
GW1Tottenham Hotspur (H)3–0GW2Leeds United (A)1–1GW3Sunderland (H)1–1GW4Bournemouth (A)2–2GW5Chelsea (H)41% W1–2GW6Aston Villa (A)39% W1–1GW7Liverpool (H)35% W1–2GW8Hull City (A)40% W1–0GW9Nottingham Forest (H)44% W1–0GW10Brighton (A)29% W1–2GW11Everton (H)41% W1–0GW12Manchester United (A)33% W1–2GW13Arsenal (H)24% W0–1GW14Manchester City (H)31% W0–1GW15Fulham (A)38% W1–0GW16Newcastle United (H)41% W2–1GW17Ipswich Town (A)47% W2–1GW18Coventry City (A)55% W1–0GW19Crystal Palace (H)56% W2–1GW20Arsenal (A)17% W0–1GW21Brighton (H)39% W1–2GW22Everton (A)31% W0–1GW23Manchester United (H)44% W2–1GW24Nottingham Forest (A)34% W1–0GW25Crystal Palace (A)46% W2–1GW26Coventry City (H)65% W1–0GW27Newcastle United (A)30% W1–2GW28Ipswich Town (H)59% W2–1GW29Sunderland (A)37% W1–0GW30Bournemouth (H)43% W2–1GW31Tottenham Hotspur (A)43% W1–1GW32Leeds United (H)41% W1–0GW33Fulham (H)49% W1–0GW34Manchester City (A)23% W0–1GW35Aston Villa (H)50% W1–0GW36Liverpool (A)26% W1–2GW37Hull City (H)50% W1–0GW38Chelsea (A)30% W1–2
PLAYERS · 26/27 SPOTLIGHT
4 picks · checked after GW2

Brentford’s key FPL assets

CAPTAINFWD

Igor Thiago

22 PL goals · 2nd Golden Boot

PRICE · LIVE
£8.0m
GW1-5 PPG
6.4
2%GW1 CAPTAINTHIAGO
GW1
2%
GW1-5
4%
SEASON
3%
2 pts·172 mins·14.5% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Breakout-budget-FWD template pick. Nailed pens + Brentford set-piece identity.

DIFFERENTIALMID

Ouattara Dango

Brentford's priciest midfielder after Thiago

PRICE · LIVE
£6.5m
GW1-5 PPG
4.3
4 pts·95 mins·0.9% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Mbeumo left for Manchester United. Dango is the most expensive remaining midfielder and barely owned at 1.4%.

VALUEDEF

Michael Kayode

Top-scoring available BRE defender

PROJ PRICE
£4.6m
GW1-5 PPG
4.2
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Collins is out (calf, no return date as of 13 Sep) — Kayode inherits the value slot at £0.9m less, with the long-throw threat and 17 points banked.

DIFFERENTIALMID

Kevin Schade

2.1% owned

PRICE · LIVE
£6.0m
GW1-5 PPG
4.1
13 pts·177 mins·3.9% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Flekken is not in the FPL game this season. Schade is the most-owned Brentford midfielder outside the two premiums.

Price, minutes, points, ownership and availability are read from the FPL game after GW2 (2026-09-02). The verdict line is Onside's model take and is editorial.

Igor ThiagoBrentford · £8.0m
proj ppg · GW1–56.4
graded record →

Brentford finished 9th — and Igor Thiago broke out

Brentford finished 9th in 2025/26 with 53 points. Igor Thiago, in his first full PL season, scored 22 league goals — finishing 2nd in the Golden Boot race behind only Haaland. The structural identity remains: Thomas Frank's 4-2-3-1 with elite set-piece routines under coach Keith Andrews (in his second season). For Fantasy Premier League managers, Brentford's 26/27 outlook is defined by two questions: does Thiago repeat the breakout now he is the undisputed focal point, and who inherits Mbeumo's creative load after his move to Manchester United?

Igor Thiago — the breakout-budget-striker template pick

Igor Thiago (projected £7.0-7.5m) is one of the cleanest "breakout-budget-striker" template picks for 26/27. 22 PL goals + nailed penalty role + Brentford's set-piece identity that generates 6-8 set-play goals per season for the centre-forward. At his projected price he is a defensible 3rd or 4th forward in any structure that fits Haaland + Isak + Thiago, or any similar template.

The case against: the "second-season defended-against" effect that punishes breakout strikers in their second PL year (Wood 2024/25, Solanke 2024/25, etc). The model expects 15-18 goal regression rather than another 22. That still justifies the £7.0-7.5m price.

Who inherits Mbeumo's creative load after the Man Utd move

Bryan Mbeumo's summer move landed: he is a Manchester United player for 26/27, listed at £8.0m as a midfielder. For Brentford the FPL case now concentrates entirely on Igor Thiago; for United, Mbeumo is a third credible asset behind Bruno Fernandes and Cunha — same price bracket he over-delivered at for two straight Brentford seasons, now with better teammates.

Other Brentford picks: Collins, Kelleher, set-piece defenders

Nathan Collins (£5.5m, captain) is Brentford's standout defender — set-piece target, BPS contributor. Caoimhín Kelleher (£5.0m) is the goalkeeper alternative to Roefs if you want a starting Premier League GK at the budget tier. Keith Andrews' set-piece routines mean Brentford generate more centre-back goals than any non-top-six club — Collins is the beneficiary at £5.5m.

Recommended exposure: Thiago + Collins is the cleanest "double Brentford" template now Mbeumo has left for United. None are captain-worthy but all are points-per-pound efficient.

SEASON FORECAST · 10,000 SIMULATIONS

Where will Brentford finish in 2026/27?

The Onside model simulated all 380 fixtures 10,000 times: Brentford's median finish is 11th on 50 points (24–78 across the 5–95% range), with 12.4% relegation risk.

11th
Median finish
50 pts
Range 24–78
9.6%
Top-4 chance
12.4%
Relegation risk

Andrews; equalled their best-ever PL finish (9th).

Full predicted table, all 20 clubs →
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Frequently Asked Questions

Yes — at a projected £7.0-7.5m he is one of the cleanest breakout-budget-striker template picks. 22 PL goals in 25/26, nailed penalty role, Brentford's set-piece identity. The model expects 15-18 goal regression in 26/27, which still justifies the price.

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