QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?

The Onside model makes Brentford the more likely winner of Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford in Gameweek 31: Tottenham Hotspur 25%, draw 28%, Brentford 47%. The score pick is Tottenham Hotspur 01 Brentford, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

TOT goals down, BRE goals across

TOTBRE 0BRE 1BRE 2BRE 3BRE 4BRE 5
TOT 08.3%8.4%7.1%3.4%1.2%0.4%
TOT 17.0%13.7%8.8%4.2%1.5%0.4%
TOT 25.3%7.6%5.5%2.6%0.9%0.3%
TOT 32.2%3.1%2.3%1.1%0.4%0.1%
TOT 40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
TOT 50.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.5%.

Sat 10 Apr · 15:00 UK · GW31 · model pl-dc-v2

Tottenham Hotspur v Brentford

Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 25% chance of beating Brentford in Gameweek 31, with 28% on the draw and 47% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 01 Brentford, from expected goals of 1.24 to 1.44. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Tottenham Hotspur
25%
Draw
28%
Brentford
47%
Model pick: 01 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
Your call
AI calls
0–1
Your call
·
·
locks Sat 14:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.241.44
★ MODE
11
13.7%
12
8.8%
01
8.4%
00
8.3%
21
7.6%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%

Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Tottenham Hotspur
Attack ranks #12 and defence #12 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.09 on goal rate.
Brentford
Attack ranks #8, defence #7. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.241.44.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW1Brentford vs Spurs predictionAll predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW31 predictions
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford Prediction — GW31 Score