QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Brentford vs Hull City?

The Onside model makes Brentford the more likely winner of Brentford vs Hull City in Gameweek 37: Brentford 54%, draw 27%, Hull City 19%. The score pick is Brentford 10 Hull City, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

BRE goals down, HUL goals across

BREHUL 0HUL 1HUL 2HUL 3HUL 4HUL 5
BRE 08.2%5.0%2.9%0.9%0.2%0.0%
BRE 110.7%12.4%5.1%1.6%0.4%0.1%
BRE 210.6%9.8%4.5%1.4%0.3%0.1%
BRE 36.2%5.7%2.6%0.8%0.2%0.0%
BRE 42.7%2.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
BRE 51.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.0%.

Sun 23 May · 15:00 UK · GW37 · model pl-dc-v2

Brentford v Hull City

Onside's model gives Brentford a 54% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 37, with 27% on the draw and 19% on an away win. The score prediction is Brentford 10 Hull City, from expected goals of 1.76 to 0.92. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Brentford
54%
Draw
27%
Hull City
19%
Model pick: 10 · most probable 11
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SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.760.92
★ MODE
11
12.4%
10
10.7%
20
10.6%
21
9.8%
00
8.2%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%

Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Brentford
Attack ranks #8 and defence #7 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.09 on goal rate.
Hull City
Attack ranks #18, defence #14. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.760.92.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW8Hull City vs Brentford predictionAll predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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Brentford vs Hull City Prediction — GW37 Score & Win Probability