Who will win Everton vs Arsenal?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
EVE goals down, ARS goals across
| EVE ↓ | ARS 0 | ARS 1 | ARS 2 | ARS 3 | ARS 4 | ARS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE 0 | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| EVE 1 | 7.5% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| EVE 2 | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| EVE 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVE 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (0–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Everton v Arsenal
Onside's model gives Everton a 27% chance of beating Arsenal in Gameweek 37, with 32% on the draw and 41% on an away win. The score prediction is Everton 0–1 Arsenal, from expected goals of 0.80 to 1.39. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Bournemouth vs Chelsea prediction
- Brentford vs Hull City prediction
- Brighton vs Liverpool prediction
- Fulham vs Coventry City prediction
- Leeds vs Sunderland prediction
- Man City vs Aston Villa prediction
- Newcastle vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Nott'm Forest vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Spurs vs Man Utd prediction