Leeds United v Sunderland
Who will win Leeds United vs Sunderland?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LEE goals down, SUN goals across
| LEE ↓ | SUN 0 | SUN 1 | SUN 2 | SUN 3 | SUN 4 | SUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEE 0 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LEE 1 | 14.5% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LEE 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LEE 3 | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LEE 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LEE 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Trafford
- DEF
- Bogle, Muharemović, Justin, Gudmundsson, Elvedi
- MID
- Ampadu, Tanaka, Stach, Wilson
- FWD
- Calvert-Lewin
- Rodon — Hamstring injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- Mateo Joseph — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Okafor 75% — Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Roefs
- DEF
- Reinildo, Hume, O'Nien, Mukiele
- MID
- Xhaka, E.Le Fée, Sadiki, N.Angulo, Rigg
- FWD
- Brobbey
- Ballard — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Alderete — Suspended until 21 Nov
- Mundle — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Mukiele 75% — Concussion - 75% chance of playing
- Diarra 75% — Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.
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