Brighton v Liverpool
Who will win Brighton vs Liverpool?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BHA goals down, LIV goals across
| BHA ↓ | LIV 0 | LIV 1 | LIV 2 | LIV 3 | LIV 4 | LIV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHA 0 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| BHA 1 | 9.1% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| BHA 2 | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| BHA 3 | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BHA 4 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.8%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Verbruggen
- DEF
- Vuskovic, De Cuyper, Boscagli, Dunk, F.Kadıoğlu
- MID
- Gomez, Groß, Ayari, Andrés
- FWD
- Kostoulas
- Struijk — Hamstring injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Yohanna — Unspecified injury - Expected back 22 Nov
- Mitoma — Hamstring injury - Expected back 22 Nov
- Azeez — Hamstring injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Tzimas — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- F.Kadıoğlu 75% — Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- GK
- A.Becker
- DEF
- Virgil, Jacquet, Kerkez, Araujo
- MID
- Wirtz, Mac Allister, Barcola, Gakpo, Munoz
- FWD
- Isak
- Frimpong — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ekitiké — Achilles injury - Unknown return date
- Jaros — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Bradley — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Leoni — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gravenberch 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.