Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, EVE goals across
| ARS ↓ | EVE 0 | EVE 1 | EVE 2 | EVE 3 | EVE 4 | EVE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 14.9% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.7%.
Arsenal v Everton
Onside's model gives Arsenal a 52% chance of beating Everton in Gameweek 8, with 29% on the draw and 19% on an away win. The score prediction is Arsenal 1–0 Everton, from expected goals of 1.66 to 0.66. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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