Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
CRY goals down, NEW goals across
| CRY ↓ | NEW 0 | NEW 1 | NEW 2 | NEW 3 | NEW 4 | NEW 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRY 0 | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CRY 1 | 4.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| CRY 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| CRY 3 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| CRY 4 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| CRY 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.6%.
Crystal Palace v Newcastle United
Onside's model gives Crystal Palace a 41% chance of beating Newcastle United in Gameweek 8, with 25% on the draw and 34% on an away win. The score prediction is Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United, from expected goals of 1.73 to 1.69. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 60 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).