Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
CHE goals down, TOT goals across
| CHE ↓ | TOT 0 | TOT 1 | TOT 2 | TOT 3 | TOT 4 | TOT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHE 0 | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CHE 1 | 6.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| CHE 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| CHE 3 | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| CHE 4 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CHE 5 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.1%.
Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur
Onside's model gives Chelsea a 55% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 8, with 24% on the draw and 21% on an away win. The score prediction is Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 2.08 to 1.23. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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