FPL · CHELSEA · 2026-27

Chelsea FPL Picks 2026/27

Chelsea FPL picks for 2026/27: Rogers and Palmer carry the attack while the striker is injured; Neto and Hato are the cheap ways in. Live prices and flags.
By Onside3 min read
Chelsea crest
Chelsea
Manager · Xabi Alonso
Jorrel Hato
Top pick · DEF
Jorrel Hato
£4.5m
QUICK ANSWER

Chelsea FPL Picks 2026/27

WHAT CHANGED SINCE PUBLICATION
  • João Pedro (Chelsea) is OUT with a thigh injury, return date unknown (FPL, 24 Oct 2026). Do not bring him in or captain him until his return is confirmed; mentions of him below were written before the injury.
  • Updated 27 September 2026: Robert Sánchez joined Como on loan for the rest of the season and cannot play for Chelsea again this year. Emi Martínez, signed from Aston Villa, is Chelsea’s goalkeeper.
  • Nicolas Jackson plays for Aston Villa in 2026/27. Earlier versions of this page listed him as a Chelsea forward.
Chelsea FPL picks for 2026/27: Rogers and Palmer carry the attack while the striker is injured; Neto and Hato are the cheap ways in. Live prices and flags.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

NOW DO THIS FOR YOUR TEAM
Paste your FPL team ID — the model grades your squad

No sign-in for the first rating. Your ID is in your FPL points URL.

Analysis by the Onside model · model graded in public, ~15% more accurate than FPLPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-10-28
LIVE OWNERSHIP

Chelsea's most-owned FPL players right now

Chelsea — most-owned FPL players
PlayerPosPriceOwnedPtsFormMins
João PedroInjuredFWD£7.8m63.2%474.7521
RogersMID£8.0m50.2%414.0700
PalmerMID£9.8m27.3%373.0698
Lacroix75% to playDEF£5.9m6.3%243.7634
NetoMID£6.6m4.3%377.7591
JamesInjuredDEF£5.2m3.6%30.0292
MartinezInjuredGK£5.0m3.5%203.7524
HendersonMID£4.9m1.6%257.7360
CHEEST 1905
PREMIER LEAGUE · 26/27
Chelsea
Xabi Alonso · 3-4-2-1 · back-three · wing-back attack
25/26 xG #525/26 xGA #11
CLUB · 26/27 AFTER GW8
MANAGER
Xabi Alonso
✦ NEW THIS SEASON
SYSTEM
3-4-2-1 · back-three · wing-back attack
TABLE · AFTER GW8
5th
13 PTS · 17–15 GOALS
NEXT 5 FDR · GW9–13
3.0
NEUTRAL
MUN(H) SUN(A) LEE(H) NFO(A) CRY(H)
LIVE · 26/27 SO FAR

Chelsea after Gameweek 8: 5th, 13 points

CHELSEA · 26/27 · LIVE
League points per game, after each match
PLAYED
8
PTS / GAME
1.63
Chelsea results so far in 2026/27
GWOpponentScoreResultCS
GW1Fulham (A)3–2W
GW2Brighton (H)4–3W
GW3Arsenal (A)1–2L
GW4Hull City (H)2–2D
GW5Brentford (A)0–3L
GW6Bournemouth (H)5–1W
GW7Everton (A)2–0W✓
GW8Spurs (H)0–2L

17 scored, 15 conceded, 1 clean sheet. Table position from these results: points, then goal difference, then goals scored.

NEXT 5 · CALLED BY THE MODEL

Chelsea's road ahead

PREDICTED FINAL TABLE →
▸FULL 38-FIXTURE OUTLOOK
PLAYERS · 26/27 SPOTLIGHT
4 picks · checked after GW8

Chelsea’s key FPL assets

VALUEDEF

Jorrel Hato

Six starts · three assists

PRICE · LIVE
£4.5m
PTS / GAME · LIVE
4.2
25 pts·412 mins·0.9% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

A £4.5m defender with three assists from the left side of Alonso’s back line: the cheapest way to own Chelsea while the striker is out.

PREMIUMMID

Morgan Rogers

Every start · three goals

PRICE · LIVE
£8.0m
PTS / GAME · LIVE
5.1
41 pts·700 mins·50.1% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Signed from Aston Villa and straight into the side: three goals from midfield, with no flag against him.

PREMIUMMID

Cole Palmer

Penalty taker · second on free kicks

PRICE · LIVE
£9.8m
PTS / GAME · LIVE
4.6
37 pts·698 mins·27.4% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

Takes the penalties and has been involved in four goals already. A muscular doubt into GW6 is the only reason to wait.

DIFFERENTIALMID

Pedro Neto

Four starts · a goal

PRICE · LIVE
£6.6m
PTS / GAME · LIVE
4.6
37 pts·591 mins·4.2% owned
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT

The wide forward in Alonso’s front three, owned by almost nobody — the differential route into the league’s busiest attack.

Price, points per game, minutes, points, ownership and availability are read from the FPL game after GW8 (2026-10-28). The verdict line is Onside's model take and is editorial.

Morgan RogersChelsea · £8.0m
pts per game · to GW85.1
graded record →

Chelsea after five gameweeks

Xabi Alonso’s first five league games at Chelsea have been the most open in the division: a 3-2 win at Fulham, 4-3 against Brighton, a 2-1 defeat at Arsenal, 2-2 at home to Hull and a 3-0 loss at Brentford in GW5. Ten scored, twelve conceded, no clean sheet, and tenth in the table.

For FPL that splits Chelsea cleanly in two. The attack is one of the best sources of points in the game; the defence has not yet earned its prices. Alonso’s back three and attacking wing-backs are the shape he made famous at Bayer Leverkusen, and the goals against say it has not settled at Chelsea yet.

The attack: João Pedro, Rogers and Palmer

João Pedro is Chelsea’s top FPL scorer with three goals and three assists, and after Haaland the most-owned forward in the game. He carries a fitness doubt into GW6. Morgan Rogers, signed from Aston Villa, has started every game and scored three — the Chelsea attacker with no flag against him.

Cole Palmer is first on penalties and second on direct free kicks, with two goals and two assists, and carries a fitness doubt of his own. With two of the three flagged at 75%, check this page’s live table before the deadline: when all three are fit, João Pedro and Rogers are the value and Palmer the premium. Pedro Neto has started four games and is the low-ownership route into the same attack.

Why the Chelsea defence is not a pick yet

Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet in five games and have conceded twelve — the most in the division. That makes every Chelsea defender a bet on attacking returns alone. Jorrel Hato has two assists from defence; Maxence Lacroix, signed from Crystal Palace, has started four games at centre-back; Reece James takes the corners and free kicks but has a fitness doubt.

Emi Martínez, signed from Aston Villa, has started four games in goal and not yet kept a clean sheet. Wait for the defence to show it can stop goals before spending money on it.

Chelsea’s next five

After the international break Chelsea play Bournemouth (H), Everton (A), Tottenham (H), Manchester United (H) and Sunderland (A). The FPL difficulty ratings put only the United game at 4 and Spurs at 2 — a run that suits the attackers.

Two Chelsea attackers is the sensible exposure through this stretch: João Pedro or Palmer, plus Rogers. The live table on this page carries each player’s price, ownership and injury flag.

THIS WEEK — GAMEWEEK 9

The advice above holds all season. The names change every week — Gameweek 9 closes Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 UK, and the current shortlists are below.

SEASON FORECAST · LOCKED BEFORE KICK-OFF

Where will Chelsea finish in 2026/27?

Before a ball was kicked, the Onside model simulated all 380 fixtures 10,000 times: Chelsea's median finish is 6th on 67 points (40–92 across the 5–95% range), with 39% for the top four.

6th
Median finish
67 pts
Range 40–92
7.9%
Title chance
1.4%
Relegation risk

At the lock: Xabi Alonso plus the biggest spend in world football — Rogers, Lacroix, Palestra, Welbeck, Barco, Henderson.

Full predicted table, all 20 clubs →
EVERY FIXTURE · 2026/27

Chelsea fixtures 2026/27 — every match predicted

All 38 of Chelsea's Premier League fixtures. Each one has its own page with the model's win probability and most likely score before kick-off, and the graded result after it.

  1. GW1AFulham vs Chelsea prediction
  2. GW2HChelsea vs Brighton prediction
  3. GW3AArsenal vs Chelsea prediction
  4. GW4HChelsea vs Hull City prediction
  5. GW5ABrentford vs Chelsea prediction
  6. GW6HChelsea vs Bournemouth prediction
  7. GW7AEverton vs Chelsea prediction
  8. GW8HChelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
  9. GW9HChelsea vs Manchester United prediction
  10. GW10ASunderland vs Chelsea prediction
  11. GW11HChelsea vs Leeds United prediction
  12. GW12ANottingham Forest vs Chelsea prediction
  13. GW13HChelsea vs Crystal Palace prediction
  14. GW14HChelsea vs Liverpool prediction
  15. GW15AManchester City vs Chelsea prediction
  16. GW16HChelsea vs Aston Villa prediction
  17. GW17ACoventry City vs Chelsea prediction
  18. GW18AIpswich Town vs Chelsea prediction
  19. GW19HChelsea vs Newcastle United prediction
  20. GW20ACrystal Palace vs Chelsea prediction
  21. GW21HChelsea vs Sunderland prediction
  22. GW22ALeeds United vs Chelsea prediction
  23. GW23HChelsea vs Nottingham Forest prediction
  24. GW24AManchester United vs Chelsea prediction
  25. GW25ANewcastle United vs Chelsea prediction
  26. GW26HChelsea vs Ipswich Town prediction
  27. GW27AAston Villa vs Chelsea prediction
  28. GW28HChelsea vs Coventry City prediction
  29. GW29HChelsea vs Arsenal prediction
  30. GW30AHull City vs Chelsea prediction
  31. GW31HChelsea vs Fulham prediction
  32. GW32ABrighton vs Chelsea prediction
  33. GW33HChelsea vs Manchester City prediction
  34. GW34ALiverpool vs Chelsea prediction
  35. GW35ATottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea prediction
  36. GW36HChelsea vs Everton prediction
  37. GW37ABournemouth vs Chelsea prediction
  38. GW38HChelsea vs Brentford prediction
FPL 2026/27 BRIEFING

Get the captain pick before every deadline

One short email per gameweek: the Onside model's captain shortlist, the transfers worth making, and the differentials worth a punt. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

Weekly digest

Captain picks, transfer tips & differentials — every week.

One email per gameweek. Unsubscribe any time.

Frequently Asked Questions

João Pedro (three goals, three assists), Morgan Rogers (every start, three goals) and Cole Palmer (first on penalties). Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet in five games, so their attackers are the picks and their defenders are not yet.

FROM READING TO WINNING

Now put the model on your team.

The engine that grades every prediction in public, pointed at your Fantasy Premier League squad. Two ways in:

FPL 2026/27 · SEASON UNDER WAY

Everything for your FPL 26/27 season

One model for Fantasy Premier League, every prediction graded in public.