Who will win Coventry City vs Chelsea?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
COV goals down, CHE goals across
| COV ↓ | CHE 0 | CHE 1 | CHE 2 | CHE 3 | CHE 4 | CHE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COV 0 | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| COV 1 | 3.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| COV 2 | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| COV 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| COV 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| COV 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.9%.
Coventry City v Chelsea
Onside's model gives Coventry City a 24% chance of beating Chelsea in Gameweek 17, with 26% on the draw and 50% on an away win. The score prediction is Coventry City 1–2 Chelsea, from expected goals of 1.08 to 2.05. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).