Who will win Chelsea vs Coventry City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
CHE goals down, COV goals across
| CHE ↓ | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHE 0 | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CHE 1 | 7.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| CHE 2 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CHE 3 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| CHE 4 | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CHE 5 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.9%.
Chelsea v Coventry City
Onside's model gives Chelsea a 64% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 28, with 22% on the draw and 14% on an away win. The score prediction is Chelsea 2–0 Coventry City, from expected goals of 2.46 to 0.90. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).