Who will win Brentford vs Ipswich Town?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BRE goals down, IPS goals across
| BRE ↓ | IPS 0 | IPS 1 | IPS 2 | IPS 3 | IPS 4 | IPS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRE 0 | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BRE 1 | 7.9% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| BRE 2 | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| BRE 3 | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BRE 4 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BRE 5 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.6%.
Brentford v Ipswich Town
Onside's model gives Brentford a 64% chance of beating Ipswich Town in Gameweek 28, with 21% on the draw and 15% on an away win. The score prediction is Brentford 2–1 Ipswich Town, from expected goals of 2.23 to 0.99. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).