Rank dropping? Bad gameweek? The Season Pass is back at £24.99 until 8 November — 3d 9h 33m left.Season Pass £24.99 · 3d 9h leftSEE THE SEASON PASSSEE IT
Wed 3 Mar · 20:00 UK · GW28 · model pl-dc-v2

Brentford v Ipswich Town

The Onside model's call for Gameweek 28, from expected goals of 2.28 to 1.05. Recorded before kick-off and graded in public.
BRE win
64%
Draw
20%
IPS win
16%
Score pick
2–1
most likely 2–1
QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Brentford vs Ipswich Town?

The Onside model makes Brentford the more likely winner of Brentford vs Ipswich Town in Gameweek 28: Brentford 64%, draw 20%, Ipswich Town 16%. The score pick is Brentford 2–1 Ipswich Town, and the single most probable scoreline is 2–1. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

BRE goals down, IPS goals across

BRE ↓IPS 0IPS 1IPS 2IPS 3IPS 4IPS 5
BRE 04.6%2.7%2.0%0.7%0.2%0.0%
BRE 17.1%9.6%4.5%1.6%0.4%0.1%
BRE 29.3%9.8%5.2%1.8%0.5%0.1%
BRE 37.0%7.4%3.9%1.4%0.4%0.1%
BRE 44.0%4.2%2.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
BRE 51.8%1.9%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.9%.

Your call
AI calls
2–1
Your call
·
–
·
locks Wed 20:00 UK
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
2.28 — 1.05
★ MODE
2–1
9.8%
1–1
9.6%
2–0
9.3%
3–1
7.4%
1–0
7.1%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%

Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Brentford
Attack ranks #6 and defence #8 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.10 on goal rate.
Ipswich Town
Attack ranks #12, defence #20. Expected goals in this fixture: 2.28–1.05.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

GW28 · TEAM NEWS

Predicted line-ups & team news

Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.

Brentford
3-6-1
GK
Kelleher
DEF
Ajer, Kayode, Van den Berg
MID
Lewis-Potter, Janelt, Schade, Jensen, O.Dango, M.Sangaré
FWD
Thiago
  • Furo — Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
  • Henry — Hip injury - Unknown return date
  • Carvalho — Knock - Expected back 23 Nov
  • Milambo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Dasilva — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL BRE LINE-UP →
Ipswich Town
4-5-1
GK
Walton
DEF
O'Shea, Davis, Diop, Ouattara
MID
Enciso, Palacios, Florentino, Fatawu, Philogene
FWD
Emersonn
  • Lukić 75% — Groin injury - 75% chance of playing
TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL IPS LINE-UP →
Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW17Ipswich Town vs Brentford prediction→All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW28 predictions