Leeds United v Hull City
Who will win Leeds United vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LEE goals down, HUL goals across
| LEE ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEE 0 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| LEE 1 | 13.3% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| LEE 2 | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LEE 3 | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LEE 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LEE 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Trafford
- DEF
- Bogle, Muharemović, Justin, Gudmundsson, Elvedi
- MID
- Ampadu, Tanaka, Wilson, James
- FWD
- Calvert-Lewin
- Mateo Joseph — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Calvert-Lewin 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
- Stach 50% — Foot injury - 50% chance of playing
- Okafor 50% — Thigh injury - 50% chance of playing
- GK
- Tzolakis
- DEF
- Ajayi, Coyle, Egan, Giles, Mendy
- MID
- Slater, Belloumi, Stroud, Iroegbunam
- FWD
- McBurnie
- Targett — Ankle injury - Unknown return date
- Crooks — Suspended until 22 Nov
- Hughes — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Morita — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Matazo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gourna-Douath 75% — Calf injury - 75% chance of playing
- Gyabi 75% — Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.
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