Who will win Hull City vs Leeds United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
HUL goals down, LEE goals across
| HUL ↓ | LEE 0 | LEE 1 | LEE 2 | LEE 3 | LEE 4 | LEE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUL 0 | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| HUL 1 | 9.2% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| HUL 2 | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| HUL 3 | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| HUL 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| HUL 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.2%.
Hull City v Leeds United
Onside's model gives Hull City a 29% chance of beating Leeds United in Gameweek 18, with 31% on the draw and 40% on an away win. The score prediction is Hull City 0–1 Leeds United, from expected goals of 1.06 to 1.22. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Spurs vs Brighton prediction
- Everton vs Man City prediction
- Coventry City vs Brentford prediction
- Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth prediction
- Fulham vs Arsenal prediction
- Man Utd vs Sunderland prediction
- Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest prediction
- Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction
- Ipswich Town vs Chelsea prediction