Ipswich Town v Chelsea
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Chelsea?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
IPS goals down, CHE goals across
| IPS ↓ | CHE 0 | CHE 1 | CHE 2 | CHE 3 | CHE 4 | CHE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPS 0 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| IPS 1 | 2.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| IPS 2 | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| IPS 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| IPS 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| IPS 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–2); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.4%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Walton
- DEF
- O'Shea, Davis, Diop, Ouattara
- MID
- Enciso, Palacios, Florentino, Fatawu, Philogene
- FWD
- Emersonn
- Lukić 75% — Groin injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Penders
- DEF
- Colwill, Acheampong, Fofana, Palestra
- MID
- Rogers, Palmer, Neto, Caicedo, Henderson, Lavia
- João Pedro — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Lacroix — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- James — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Martinez — Head injury - Unknown return date
- Hato — Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
- Henderson 75% — Illness - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.