Who will win Fulham vs Arsenal?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
FUL goals down, ARS goals across
| FUL ↓ | ARS 0 | ARS 1 | ARS 2 | ARS 3 | ARS 4 | ARS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL 0 | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| FUL 1 | 4.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| FUL 2 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| FUL 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| FUL 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FUL 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (0–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.9%.
Fulham v Arsenal
Onside's model gives Fulham a 22% chance of beating Arsenal in Gameweek 18, with 28% on the draw and 50% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 0–1 Arsenal, from expected goals of 0.79 to 1.75. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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