Arsenal v Fulham
Who will win Arsenal vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, FUL goals across
| ARS ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 15.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.4%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Raya
- DEF
- Gabriel, Calafiori, Konsa, White
- MID
- Rice, Ødegaard, Madueke, Tzolis, Bruno G.
- FWD
- Havertz
- Saka — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Dowman — Suspended until 29 Nov
- Konsa 75% — Knee injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Leno
- DEF
- Bassey, Affengruber, Robinson, Castagne
- MID
- Iwobi, King, Bobb, Charles, Berge
- FWD
- Gonzalo
- Cairney — Knee injury - Expected back 21 Nov
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.
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