Who will win Arsenal vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, FUL goals across
| ARS ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.0%.
Arsenal v Fulham
Onside's model gives Arsenal a 60% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 26, with 25% on the draw and 15% on an away win. The score prediction is Arsenal 2–0 Fulham, from expected goals of 2.10 to 0.66. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Brentford vs Coventry City prediction
- Brighton vs Spurs prediction
- Chelsea vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction
- Liverpool vs Hull City prediction
- Man City vs Newcastle prediction
- Nott'm Forest vs Man Utd prediction
- Sunderland vs Everton prediction