Chelsea v Ipswich Town
Who will win Chelsea vs Ipswich Town?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
CHE goals down, IPS goals across
| CHE ↓ | IPS 0 | IPS 1 | IPS 2 | IPS 3 | IPS 4 | IPS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHE 0 | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CHE 1 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| CHE 2 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| CHE 3 | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| CHE 4 | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| CHE 5 | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 6.7%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Penders
- DEF
- Colwill, Acheampong, Fofana, Palestra
- MID
- Rogers, Palmer, Neto, Caicedo, Henderson, Lavia
- João Pedro — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Lacroix — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- James — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Martinez — Head injury - Unknown return date
- Hato — Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
- Henderson 75% — Illness - 75% chance of playing
- GK
- Walton
- DEF
- O'Shea, Davis, Diop, Ouattara
- MID
- Enciso, Palacios, Florentino, Fatawu, Philogene
- FWD
- Emersonn
- Lukić 75% — Groin injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.