Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
TOT goals down, BHA goals across
| TOT ↓ | BHA 0 | BHA 1 | BHA 2 | BHA 3 | BHA 4 | BHA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOT 0 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| TOT 1 | 6.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| TOT 2 | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| TOT 3 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TOT 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| TOT 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.7%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Kinsky
- DEF
- Van Hecke, Van de Ven, Robertson
- MID
- Tonali, Gray, Kudus, Fernandes, Tel
- FWD
- Marmoush, Solanke
- Richarlison — not included in squad.
- Sávio — Muscular injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- Tosin — Calf injury - Unknown return date
- Bergvall — Knee injury - Expected back 31 Oct
- Mudryk — Ankle injury - Unknown return date
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Verbruggen
- DEF
- Vuskovic, De Cuyper, Boscagli, Dunk, F.Kadıoğlu
- MID
- Gomez, Groß, Ayari, Andrés
- FWD
- Kostoulas
- Struijk — Hamstring injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Yohanna — Unspecified injury - Expected back 22 Nov
- Mitoma — Hamstring injury - Expected back 22 Nov
- Azeez — Hamstring injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Tzimas — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- F.Kadıoğlu 75% — Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.
- Hull City vs Leeds prediction
- Everton vs Man City prediction
- Coventry City vs Brentford prediction
- Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth prediction
- Fulham vs Arsenal prediction
- Man Utd vs Sunderland prediction
- Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest prediction
- Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction
- Ipswich Town vs Chelsea prediction