Liverpool v Chelsea
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, CHE goals across
| LIV ↓ | CHE 0 | CHE 1 | CHE 2 | CHE 3 | CHE 4 | CHE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| LIV 1 | 6.8% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| LIV 2 | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| LIV 3 | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LIV 4 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| LIV 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.2%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- A.Becker
- DEF
- Virgil, Jacquet, Kerkez, Araujo
- MID
- Wirtz, Mac Allister, Barcola, Gakpo, Munoz
- FWD
- Isak
- Frimpong — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ekitiké — Achilles injury - Unknown return date
- Jaros — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Bradley — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Leoni — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gravenberch 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
- GK
- Penders
- DEF
- Colwill, Acheampong, Fofana, Palestra
- MID
- Rogers, Palmer, Neto, Caicedo, Henderson, Lavia
- João Pedro — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Lacroix — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- James — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Martinez — Head injury - Unknown return date
- Hato — Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
- Henderson 75% — Illness - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.