What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Everton?

The model's score pick is Fulham 0–0 Everton; the single most probable scoreline is 0–0.

How accurate are Onside match predictions?

Every gameweek we publish log-loss, RPS and accuracy against the bookmaker opening and closing lines at onsidearena.com/api/predict/receipts — the model is evaluated walk-forward with no hindsight.

Sat 1 May · 15:00 UK · GW34 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Everton

The Onside model's call for Gameweek 34, from expected goals of 1.00 to 0.96. Recorded before kick-off and graded in public.

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FUL win

36%

Draw

33%

EVE win

31%

Score pick

0–0

most likely 0–0

QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Everton?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Everton in Gameweek 34: Fulham 36%, draw 33%, Everton 31%. The score pick is Fulham 0–0 Everton, and the single most probable scoreline is 0–0. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

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FUL 36%

DRAW 33%

EVE 31%

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, EVE goals across

FUL ↓	EVE 0	EVE 1	EVE 2	EVE 3	EVE 4	EVE 5
FUL 0	15.7%	11.9%	6.5%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
FUL 1	12.4%	15.1%	6.5%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
FUL 2	7.0%	6.7%	3.2%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%
FUL 3	2.3%	2.2%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
FUL 4	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
FUL 5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (0–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.1%.

Your call

Fulham

Everton

AI calls

0–0

Your call

–

locks Sat 15:00 UK

SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS

1.00 — 0.96

★ MODE

0–0

15.7%

1–1

15.1%

1–0

12.4%

0–1

11.9%

2–0

7.0%

OVER 2.5 GOALS

31%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

41%

Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way

Fulham

Attack ranks #18 and defence #10 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.10 on goal rate.

Everton

Attack ranks #16, defence #5. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.00–0.96.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

GW34 · TEAM NEWS

Predicted line-ups & team news

Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.

Fulham

4-5-1