Who will win Everton vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
EVE goals down, FUL goals across
| EVE ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE 0 | 12.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| EVE 1 | 13.1% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| EVE 2 | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| EVE 3 | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVE 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Everton v Fulham
Onside's model gives Everton a 46% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 14, with 30% on the draw and 24% on an away win. The score prediction is Everton 1–0 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.34 to 0.87. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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