Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
CHE goals down, MCI goals across
| CHE ↓ | MCI 0 | MCI 1 | MCI 2 | MCI 3 | MCI 4 | MCI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHE 0 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| CHE 1 | 3.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| CHE 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CHE 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| CHE 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| CHE 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.1%.
Chelsea v Manchester City
Onside's model gives Chelsea a 31% chance of beating Manchester City in Gameweek 33, with 25% on the draw and 44% on an away win. The score prediction is Chelsea 1–2 Manchester City, from expected goals of 1.56 to 2.00. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
- Aston Villa vs Coventry City prediction
- Bournemouth vs Arsenal prediction
- Brentford vs Fulham prediction
- Everton vs Brighton prediction
- Leeds vs Liverpool prediction
- Man Utd vs Crystal Palace prediction
- Newcastle vs Ipswich Town prediction
- Nott'm Forest vs Sunderland prediction
- Spurs vs Hull City prediction