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Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City?

The Onside model makes Tottenham Hotspur the more likely winner of Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City in Gameweek 33: Tottenham Hotspur 36%, draw 31%, Hull City 33%. The score pick is Tottenham Hotspur 10 Hull City, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

TOT goals down, HUL goals across

TOTHUL 0HUL 1HUL 2HUL 3HUL 4HUL 5
TOT 09.9%7.2%4.6%1.6%0.4%0.1%
TOT 110.5%14.1%6.6%2.3%0.6%0.1%
TOT 28.6%9.0%4.7%1.6%0.4%0.1%
TOT 34.1%4.3%2.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
TOT 41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
TOT 50.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.

Sat 24 Apr · 15:00 UK · GW33 · model pl-dc-v2

Tottenham Hotspur v Hull City

Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 36% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 33, with 31% on the draw and 33% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 10 Hull City, from expected goals of 1.43 to 1.04. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Tottenham Hotspur
36%
Draw
31%
Hull City
33%
Model pick: 10 · most probable 11
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SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.431.04
★ MODE
11
14.1%
10
10.5%
00
9.9%
21
9.0%
20
8.6%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
51%

Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Tottenham Hotspur
Attack ranks #12 and defence #12 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.09 on goal rate.
Hull City
Attack ranks #18, defence #14. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.431.04.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW15Hull City vs Spurs predictionAll predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City Prediction — GW33 Score