Who will win Leeds United vs Liverpool?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LEE goals down, LIV goals across
| LEE ↓ | LIV 0 | LIV 1 | LIV 2 | LIV 3 | LIV 4 | LIV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEE 0 | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| LEE 1 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| LEE 2 | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| LEE 3 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| LEE 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LEE 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Leeds United v Liverpool
Onside's model gives Leeds United a 36% chance of beating Liverpool in Gameweek 33, with 30% on the draw and 34% on an away win. The score prediction is Leeds United 0–1 Liverpool, from expected goals of 1.09 to 1.36. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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