How accurate are Onside match predictions?

Every gameweek we publish log-loss, RPS and accuracy against the bookmaker opening and closing lines at onsidearena.com/api/predict/receipts — the model is evaluated walk-forward with no hindsight.

Full time · GW4 · model pl-dc-v2

Bournemouth v Brentford

Full time: Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford. The numbers here are the ones Onside sealed before kick-off (Tue 8 Sept, 12:18), never revised.

Our record →

BOU win

42%

Draw

27%

BRE win

31%

Final score

2–2

sealed pick 1–1

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What did Onside predict for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford. Before kick-off the model gave Bournemouth 42%, the draw 27% and Brentford 31%, with a score pick of 1–1. Every prediction is sealed before the match and never revised.