How accurate are Onside match predictions?

Every gameweek we publish log-loss, RPS and accuracy against the bookmaker opening and closing lines at onsidearena.com/api/predict/receipts — the model is evaluated walk-forward with no hindsight.

Full time · GW4 · model pl-dc-v2

Tottenham Hotspur v Everton

Full time: Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 Everton. The numbers here are the ones Onside sealed before kick-off (Tue 8 Sept, 12:18), never revised.

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TOT win

29%

Draw

30%

EVE win

40%

Final score

0–0

sealed pick 1–1

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What did Onside predict for Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?

Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 Everton. Before kick-off the model gave Tottenham Hotspur 29%, the draw 30% and Everton 40%, with a score pick of 1–1. Every prediction is sealed before the match and never revised.