Who will win Everton vs Brentford?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
EVE goals down, BRE goals across
| EVE ↓ | BRE 0 | BRE 1 | BRE 2 | BRE 3 | BRE 4 | BRE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE 0 | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| EVE 1 | 9.9% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| EVE 2 | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| EVE 3 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| EVE 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Everton v Brentford
Onside's model gives Everton a 36% chance of beating Brentford in Gameweek 22, with 31% on the draw and 33% on an away win. The score prediction is Everton 1–1 Brentford, from expected goals of 1.17 to 1.15. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).