BRE · FWD · FPL 2026/27

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues — Forward, Brentford

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues costs £7.8m in FPL 2026/27, is a forward for Brentford, and the Onside model projects 23+ points across Thiago's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 8.8% of managers. Next fixture GW8: at HUL — projected 2.7 xP.

Onside verdictTakes the penalties and was last season’s second-highest league scorer, but one goal in five. The points have gone to Schade.

Price

£7.8m

Total pts

Form

4.0

Owned

8.8%

GW8 · at HUL

BRE

Thiago

Projected points

2.7 xP

£7.8m · 8.8% owned

Available

QUICK ANSWER

Is Thiago worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Thiago is a forward for Brentford, priced at £7.8m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 23+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Thiago a 100% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEThiago 100% to start · Gameweek 8

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Season Summary

Thiago scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists for Brentford in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £7.8m, Thiago has accumulated 18 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Thiago has averaged 3.2 points per game (form: 4.0). GW8: @ HUL (difficulty 2/5, 2.7 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 23.6 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Forward · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

7Starts · Starts

622Mins · Minutes

1Goals · Goals

2Assists · Assists

Expected Stats

3.69xG · Expected Goals

0.48xA · Expected Assists

4.17xGI · Exp. Goal Involvement

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8

Differential

2.7xP next match

2.7 xP at 9% ownership — top 16% of the game, and few rivals have him.

vs (A)

HUL

Diff2

Sun 25 Oct, 14:00

Next 6 GWs total23.6 xP

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Thiago a 100% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

100%

NAILED

Based on 7 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 88%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Thiago returns in 14 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (14%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Thiago. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW8 · AS OF 22 OCT · ONSIDEARENA.COM

Next six — difficulty ramp

GW8

HUL (A)

GW9

NFO (H)

GW10

BHA (A)

GW11

EVE (H)

GW12

MUN (A)

GW13

ARS (H)

6-GW outlook

Projected xP

Last 10 GWs

Points trend

Thiago match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GW	Opp	Min	G/A	Pts
7	LIV (H)	90'	0/1	4
6	AVL (A)	90'	0/1	4
5	CHE (H)	90'	1/0	5
4	BOU (A)	90'	0/0	1
3	SUN (H)	90'	0/0	2
2	LEE (A)	90'	0/0	2

How accurate have our Thiago projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Thiago actually scored. Across 7 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 1.4 points and the official FPL projection by 1.7 — closer than FPL.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Thiago, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GW	Onside	FPL	Actual	Mins	Closer
GW1	3.6	2.5	0	82	FPL
GW2	1.5	2.5	2	90	FPL
GW3	3.7	0.0	2	90	Onside
GW4	4.0	0.7	1	90	FPL
GW5	4.3	1.2	5	90	Onside
GW6	4.2	2.0	4	90	Onside
GW7	4.1	3.3	4	90	Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded 20 October 2026.

Season stats vs forwards

Percentile rank

Attack

Goals G
51
1
Assists A
86
2
Expected goals xG
92
3.69
Expected assists xA
82
0.48
Expected GI xGI
92
4.17

Underlying

Minutes MIN
98
622
Starts STA
80
7
Bonus pts BPS
0
0
BPS total BPS·
63
60

Creativity / ICT

Threat THR
86
188
Creativity CRE
92
95
Influence INF
75
83
ICT index ICT
80
36.3

Set-piece role · Brentford

Penaltiesprimary

FPL official designation: #1 for penalties.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Thiago start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives Thiago a 100% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Thiago worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, Thiago is a differential captain option (low-ownership) for GW8 with 2.7 projected points. 2.7 xP at 9% ownership — top 16% of the game, and few rivals have him.

How many goals has Thiago scored this season in FPL?

Thiago has scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists for Brentford in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 18 points.

Is Thiago fit to play?

Thiago is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Thiago take set pieces for Brentford?

Yes. According to Onside's curated set-piece data, Thiago is Brentford's primary penalty taker. Set-piece responsibility adds a meaningful premium to FPL projected points.

How much does Thiago cost in FPL?

Thiago currently costs £7.8m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 18 total points this season, that is 2.3 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Thiago's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 23.6 points for Thiago across the next 6 gameweeks including 2.7 points in GW8 away at HUL. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Thiago worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £7.8m, the Onside model projects 23+ points for Thiago over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Thiago's FPL fixture run look like?

Thiago has a tough upcoming schedule over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 23.6 total expected points across this period. Consider this before transferring in.