ArsenalDEFAvailable

Riccardo Calafiori

Defender · FPL ID 8

£5.7m
Price: 22
Total pts: 7.3
Form: 48.1%
Owned

Riccardo Calafiori costs £5.7m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Arsenal, and the Onside model projects 43+ points across Calafiori's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 48.1% of managers. Next fixture GW4: at SUN — projected 7.3 xP.

Onside verdictArsenal’s attacking left-sided defender at £5.5m. Timber was here until 13 Aug and is out with a groin injury and no return date.

QUICK ANSWER

Is Calafiori worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Calafiori is a defender for Arsenal, priced at £5.7m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 43+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Calafiori a 94% chance of starting Gameweek 4, from 3 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVECalafiori 94% to start · Gameweek 4

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Season Summary

Calafiori scored 0 goals and provided 2 assists with 2 clean sheets for Arsenal in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £5.7m, Calafiori has accumulated 22 total FPL points this season. Over the last 3 gameweeks, Calafiori has averaged 7.3 points per game (form: 7.3). GW4: @ SUN (difficulty 3/5, 7.3 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 43.8 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

3Starts · Starts

236Mins · Minutes

0Goals · Goals

2Assists · Assists

2Clean Sheets · Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

0.54xG · Expected Goals

0.58xA · Expected Assists

1.12xGI · Exp. Goal Involvement

Next gameweek prediction

GW 4

Must captain

7.3xP next match

7.3 xP next gameweek — top 2% of the game, an elite captain ceiling.

vs (A)

SUN

Diff3

Sat 12 Sept, 19:00

Next 6 GWs total43.8 xP

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Calafiori a 94% chance of starting Gameweek 4.

94%

NAILED

Based on 3 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 72%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Calafiori returns in 69 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (69%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Calafiori. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW4 · AS OF 10 SEPT · ONSIDEARENA.COM

Next six — difficulty ramp

GW4

SUN (A)

GW5

BHA (A)

GW6

LEE (H)

GW7

NFO (A)

GW8

EVE (H)

GW9

LIV (A)

6-GW outlook

Projected xP

Last 10 GWs

Points trend

Calafiori match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GW	Opp	Min	G/A	Pts
3	CHE (H)	66'	0/0	2
2	AVL (A)	90'	0/1	11
1	COV (H)	80'	0/1	9

How accurate have our Calafiori projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Calafiori actually scored. Across 3 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 4.7 points and the official FPL projection by 5.8 — closer than FPL.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Calafiori, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GW	Onside	FPL	Actual	Mins	Closer
GW1	4.1	2.5	9	80	Onside
GW2	2.1	2.5	11	90	FPL
GW3	1.9	4.5	2	66	Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded 7 September 2026.

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

Goals G
0
0
Assists A
97
2
Expected goals xG
93
0.54
Expected assists xA
97
0.58
Expected GI xGI
98
1.12

Defence

Clean sheets CS
93
2

Underlying

Minutes MIN
57
236
Starts STA
51
3
Bonus pts BPS
86
2
BPS total BPS·
91
61

Creativity / ICT

Threat THR
90
39
Creativity CRE
69
27
Influence INF
61
52
ICT index ICT
80
11.8

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Calafiori start in Gameweek 4?

Onside gives Calafiori a 94% chance of starting Gameweek 4, from 3 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Calafiori worth captaining in GW4?

According to Onside's AI engine, Calafiori is a must-captain pick for GW4 with 7.3 projected points. 7.3 xP next gameweek — top 2% of the game, an elite captain ceiling.

How many goals has Calafiori scored this season in FPL?

Calafiori has scored 0 goals and provided 2 assists for Arsenal in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 22 points.

Is Calafiori fit to play?

Calafiori is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Calafiori take set pieces for Arsenal?

Calafiori is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Arsenal in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does Calafiori cost in FPL?

Calafiori currently costs £5.7m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 22 total points this season, that is 3.9 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Calafiori's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 43.8 points for Calafiori across the next 6 gameweeks including 7.3 points in GW4 away at SUN. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Calafiori worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £5.7m, the Onside model projects 43+ points for Calafiori over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Calafiori's FPL fixture run look like?

Calafiori has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 43.8 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.