ARS · DEF · FPL 2026/27

Riccardo Calafiori — Defender, Arsenal

Riccardo Calafiori costs £6.0m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Arsenal, and the Onside model projects 22+ points across Calafiori's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 54.0% of managers. Next fixture GW8: vs EVE — projected 4.4 xP.

Onside verdict£2.2m cheaper than Gabriel and outscoring him: clean-sheet cover plus the attacking returns a full-back brings.

Price

£6.0m

Total pts

Form

7.5

Owned

54.0%

GW8 · vs EVE

ARS

Calafiori

Projected points

4.4 xP

£6.0m · 54.0% owned

Available

QUICK ANSWER

Is Calafiori worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Calafiori is a defender for Arsenal, priced at £6.0m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 22+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Calafiori a 97% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVECalafiori 97% to start · Gameweek 8

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Season Summary

Calafiori scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists with 4 clean sheets for Arsenal in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £6.0m, Calafiori has accumulated 44 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Calafiori has averaged 4.8 points per game (form: 7.5). GW8: vs EVE (difficulty 3/5, 4.4 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 22.5 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

7Starts · Starts

587Mins · Minutes

1Goals · Goals

2Assists · Assists

4Clean Sheets · Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

1.22xG · Expected Goals

0.98xA · Expected Assists

2.20xGI · Exp. Goal Involvement

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8

Strong pick

4.4xP next match

4.4 xP next gameweek — top 4% of the game, a strong captain option.

vs (H)

EVE

Diff3

Sat 24 Oct, 14:00

Next 6 GWs total22.5 xP

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Calafiori a 97% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

97%

NAILED

Based on 7 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 88%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Calafiori returns in 41 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (41%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Calafiori. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW8 · AS OF 22 OCT · ONSIDEARENA.COM

Next six — difficulty ramp

GW8

EVE (H)

GW9

LIV (A)

GW10

HUL (H)

GW11

NEW (A)

GW12

MCI (H)

GW13

BRE (A)

6-GW outlook

Projected xP

Last 10 GWs

Points trend

Calafiori match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GW	Opp	Min	G/A	Pts
7	NFO (A)	90'	0/0	6
6	LEE (H)	81'	1/0	9
5	BHA (A)	90'	0/0	1
4	SUN (A)	90'	0/0	6
3	CHE (H)	66'	0/0	2
2	AVL (A)	90'	0/1	11

How accurate have our Calafiori projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Calafiori actually scored. Across 7 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 3.6 points and the official FPL projection by 4.0 — closer than FPL.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Calafiori, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GW	Onside	FPL	Actual	Mins	Closer
GW1	4.1	2.5	9	80	Onside
GW2	2.1	2.5	11	90	FPL
GW3	1.9	4.5	2	66	Onside
GW4	3.6	6.7	6	90	FPL
GW5	5.0	7.0	1	90	Onside
GW6	4.9	5.6	9	81	FPL
GW7	5.4	5.3	6	90	Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded 20 October 2026.

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

Goals G
82
1
Assists A
94
2
Expected goals xG
96
1.22
Expected assists xA
99
0.98
Expected GI xGI
98
2.20

Defence

Clean sheets CS
96
4

Underlying

Minutes MIN
79
587
Starts STA
76
7
Bonus pts BPS
89
3
BPS total BPS·
91
121

Creativity / ICT

Threat THR
99
128
Creativity CRE
88
86
Influence INF
74
119
ICT index ICT
94
33.4

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Calafiori start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives Calafiori a 97% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Calafiori worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, Calafiori is a strong captain option for GW8 with 4.4 projected points. 4.4 xP next gameweek — top 4% of the game, a strong captain option.

How many goals has Calafiori scored this season in FPL?

Calafiori has scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists for Arsenal in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 44 points.

Is Calafiori fit to play?

Calafiori is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Calafiori take set pieces for Arsenal?

Calafiori is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Arsenal in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does Calafiori cost in FPL?

Calafiori currently costs £6.0m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 44 total points this season, that is 7.3 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Calafiori's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 22.5 points for Calafiori across the next 6 gameweeks including 4.4 points in GW8 vs EVE. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Calafiori worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £6.0m, the Onside model projects 22+ points for Calafiori over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Calafiori's FPL fixture run look like?

Calafiori has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 22.5 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.