ERLING HAALAND
XG / 90
0.85
XP / 90
6.90
RANK
#2
ClubMan City
NationNorway
GroupI
FIFA rank#31
ConfederationUEFA
HEAD-TO-HEAD · WC 2026 MODEL COMPARE
Norway · FranceGroup I vs IUpdated hourly
Erling Haaland vs Kylian Mbappé
Side-by-side WC 2026 projection for Erling Haaland (Norway) and Kylian Mbappé (France). Projected xP, top-100 rank, nation context, fixture difficulty. The Onside model's head-to-head verdict.
STAT STACK · HEAD-TO-HEAD
6.90
PROJECTED XP / 90
0.00
#2
TOP-100 RANK
#0
Norway
NATION
France
I
GROUP
I
#31
FIFA RANK
#1
Man City
CLUB
Real Madrid
UEFA
CONFEDERATION
UEFA
ONSIDE MODEL VERDICT
Erling Haaland edges it pre-tournament
The Onside model has Erling Haaland projected at 6.90 AI proj vs Kylian Mbappé at 0.00. Difference: 6.90 AI proj. FIFA rank of nation, opening-match difficulty, and confederation strength feed into the projection.
Pre-tournament numbers. Once MD1 plays, the projections refresh with actual minutes + xG involvement.
ONSIDE RADAR · HEAD-TO-HEAD
5-axis profile · Erling Haaland vs Kylian Mbappé
ONSIDE RADAR · WC 2026 MODEL
Erling Haaland — the player profile
Norway #31 · Man City · PL regular
5-AXIS PROFILE
Erling HaalandAverage pro · 75
ONSIDE MODEL · WC 2026 PROJECTION
EXP. GOALS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
EXP. ASSISTS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
xG / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
xA / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
MINUTES SHARE
85%
PL regular · high start prob
POSITION
—
Man City
Ratings synthesised by Onside's model from team rank + position cohort + recent fixtures. Refreshed every 60 minutes.
ONSIDE RADAR · WC 2026 MODEL
Kylian Mbappé — the player profile
France #1 · Real Madrid
5-AXIS PROFILE
Kylian MbappéAverage pro · 75
ONSIDE MODEL · WC 2026 PROJECTION
EXP. GOALS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
EXP. ASSISTS · TMT
0.1
across the tournament
xG / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
xA / MATCH
0.02
model expectation
MINUTES SHARE
70%
rotation-risk band
POSITION
—
Real Madrid
Ratings synthesised by Onside's model from team rank + position cohort + recent fixtures. Refreshed every 60 minutes.
EXPECTED GOALS + SEASON CONTEXT
More on each player
KYLIAN MBAPPÉ
XG / 90
0.20
XP / 90
0.00
RANK
#0
ClubReal Madrid
NationFrance
GroupI
FIFA rank#1
ConfederationUEFA
PAST WC PERFORMANCE
Erling Haaland vs Kylian Mbappé · prior tournaments
ERLING HAALAND
- • Norway previous WC record loads from MD1 data once tournament begins.
- • Model-projected minutes: 270+ (start in all 3 group games).
- • Career WC apps: pre-tournament data pending player history wiring.
KYLIAN MBAPPÉ
- • France previous WC record loads from MD1 data once tournament begins.
- • Model-projected minutes: 270+ (start in all 3 group games).
- • Career WC apps: pre-tournament data pending player history wiring.
Once MD1 plays, this section auto-updates with each player's actual WC 2026 appearance count, minutes, goals + assists vs their past WC numbers.
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Deeper on each player
WC MATCHDAY BRIEF · ONE LIST, TWO SEASONS
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